Recent diplomatic efforts in May 2026 produced reports of a one-page U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding aimed at ending the Gulf conflict, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and launching deeper talks on nuclear issues. However, core disagreements persist over the duration of any enrichment moratorium—Iran has floated five years while Washington seeks twenty—along with handling of Tehran’s near-weapons-grade uranium stockpile, snap inspections, and underground facilities. Earlier 2026 negotiation rounds in Islamabad and Geneva collapsed on similar points, and prior U.S. deadlines passed without accord. These unresolved gaps have sustained trader consensus that a comprehensive nuclear agreement will not be reached by June 30.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$1,858,605 거래량
$1,858,605 거래량
2026.06.30
예
$1,858,605 거래량
$1,858,605 거래량
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent diplomatic efforts in May 2026 produced reports of a one-page U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding aimed at ending the Gulf conflict, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and launching deeper talks on nuclear issues. However, core disagreements persist over the duration of any enrichment moratorium—Iran has floated five years while Washington seeks twenty—along with handling of Tehran’s near-weapons-grade uranium stockpile, snap inspections, and underground facilities. Earlier 2026 negotiation rounds in Islamabad and Geneva collapsed on similar points, and prior U.S. deadlines passed without accord. These unresolved gaps have sustained trader consensus that a comprehensive nuclear agreement will not be reached by June 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
마켓 개설일: Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
거래량
$1,858,605종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent diplomatic efforts in May 2026 produced reports of a one-page U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding aimed at ending the Gulf conflict, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and launching deeper talks on nuclear issues. However, core disagreements persist over the duration of any enrichment moratorium—Iran has floated five years while Washington seeks twenty—along with handling of Tehran’s near-weapons-grade uranium stockpile, snap inspections, and underground facilities. Earlier 2026 negotiation rounds in Islamabad and Geneva collapsed on similar points, and prior U.S. deadlines passed without accord. These unresolved gaps have sustained trader consensus that a comprehensive nuclear agreement will not be reached by June 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
거래량
$1,858,605종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic efforts in May 2026 produced reports of a one-page U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding aimed at ending the Gulf conflict, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and launching deeper talks on nuclear issues. However, core disagreements persist over the duration of any enrichment moratorium—Iran has floated five years while Washington seeks twenty—along with handling of Tehran’s near-weapons-grade uranium stockpile, snap inspections, and underground facilities. Earlier 2026 negotiation rounds in Islamabad and Geneva collapsed on similar points, and prior U.S. deadlines passed without accord. These unresolved gaps have sustained trader consensus that a comprehensive nuclear agreement will not be reached by June 30.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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