Utah's 3rd Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21 and rated Solid Republican, anchors trader consensus at 81.5% for a Republican House winner on November 3, reflecting dominant GOP voter registration, historical general election margins exceeding 60%, and weak Democratic performance. Incumbent Celeste Maloy's fundraising dominance bolsters this edge, but the competitive June 23 Republican primary—advanced by the April 25 GOP convention nominating Maloy alongside challenger Phil Lyman—introduces modest uncertainty after her razor-thin 2024 primary survival. Democrat Kent Udell secured nomination unopposed, yet faces steep barriers in this red stronghold absent a GOP nominee implosion.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
19%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$258 거래량
81%
Democratic Party
$58 거래량
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 3rd Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21 and rated Solid Republican, anchors trader consensus at 81.5% for a Republican House winner on November 3, reflecting dominant GOP voter registration, historical general election margins exceeding 60%, and weak Democratic performance. Incumbent Celeste Maloy's fundraising dominance bolsters this edge, but the competitive June 23 Republican primary—advanced by the April 25 GOP convention nominating Maloy alongside challenger Phil Lyman—introduces modest uncertainty after her razor-thin 2024 primary survival. Democrat Kent Udell secured nomination unopposed, yet faces steep barriers in this red stronghold absent a GOP nominee implosion.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
거래량
$316종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 3rd Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21 and rated Solid Republican, anchors trader consensus at 81.5% for a Republican House winner on November 3, reflecting dominant GOP voter registration, historical general election margins exceeding 60%, and weak Democratic performance. Incumbent Celeste Maloy's fundraising dominance bolsters this edge, but the competitive June 23 Republican primary—advanced by the April 25 GOP convention nominating Maloy alongside challenger Phil Lyman—introduces modest uncertainty after her razor-thin 2024 primary survival. Democrat Kent Udell secured nomination unopposed, yet faces steep barriers in this red stronghold absent a GOP nominee implosion.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$316종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 3rd Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21 and rated Solid Republican, anchors trader consensus at 81.5% for a Republican House winner on November 3, reflecting dominant GOP voter registration, historical general election margins exceeding 60%, and weak Democratic performance. Incumbent Celeste Maloy's fundraising dominance bolsters this edge, but the competitive June 23 Republican primary—advanced by the April 25 GOP convention nominating Maloy alongside challenger Phil Lyman—introduces modest uncertainty after her razor-thin 2024 primary survival. Democrat Kent Udell secured nomination unopposed, yet faces steep barriers in this red stronghold absent a GOP nominee implosion.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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