Republican incumbent Tony Wied's strong hold on Wisconsin's 8th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, drives trader consensus favoring the GOP at 74.5% implied probability, reflecting his 2024 general election victory in the battleground-leaning northeast Wisconsin seat covering Green Bay and Appleton areas. Democrats trail at 21%, hampered by a fragmented August 11 primary field featuring lesser-known challengers Rick Crosson, Mark Scheffler, and Katrina deVille—the first contested Democratic primary in nearly 20 years—lacking a clear frontrunner or heavy fundraising. Recent Democratic gains in Wisconsin's April spring elections, including local races, have marginally lifted opposition odds but failed to erode the incumbent's structural advantages amid national midterm dynamics, with the June 1 filing deadline looming as a potential catalyst.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
77%
Democratic Party
21%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$3,873 거래량
77%
Democratic Party
$3,384 거래량
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Tony Wied's strong hold on Wisconsin's 8th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, drives trader consensus favoring the GOP at 74.5% implied probability, reflecting his 2024 general election victory in the battleground-leaning northeast Wisconsin seat covering Green Bay and Appleton areas. Democrats trail at 21%, hampered by a fragmented August 11 primary field featuring lesser-known challengers Rick Crosson, Mark Scheffler, and Katrina deVille—the first contested Democratic primary in nearly 20 years—lacking a clear frontrunner or heavy fundraising. Recent Democratic gains in Wisconsin's April spring elections, including local races, have marginally lifted opposition odds but failed to erode the incumbent's structural advantages amid national midterm dynamics, with the June 1 filing deadline looming as a potential catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$7,258종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Tony Wied's strong hold on Wisconsin's 8th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, drives trader consensus favoring the GOP at 74.5% implied probability, reflecting his 2024 general election victory in the battleground-leaning northeast Wisconsin seat covering Green Bay and Appleton areas. Democrats trail at 21%, hampered by a fragmented August 11 primary field featuring lesser-known challengers Rick Crosson, Mark Scheffler, and Katrina deVille—the first contested Democratic primary in nearly 20 years—lacking a clear frontrunner or heavy fundraising. Recent Democratic gains in Wisconsin's April spring elections, including local races, have marginally lifted opposition odds but failed to erode the incumbent's structural advantages amid national midterm dynamics, with the June 1 filing deadline looming as a potential catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$7,258종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Tony Wied's strong hold on Wisconsin's 8th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, drives trader consensus favoring the GOP at 74.5% implied probability, reflecting his 2024 general election victory in the battleground-leaning northeast Wisconsin seat covering Green Bay and Appleton areas. Democrats trail at 21%, hampered by a fragmented August 11 primary field featuring lesser-known challengers Rick Crosson, Mark Scheffler, and Katrina deVille—the first contested Democratic primary in nearly 20 years—lacking a clear frontrunner or heavy fundraising. Recent Democratic gains in Wisconsin's April spring elections, including local races, have marginally lifted opposition odds but failed to erode the incumbent's structural advantages amid national midterm dynamics, with the June 1 filing deadline looming as a potential catalyst.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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