Current forecast consensus from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts places Ankara’s daytime maximum at 20–21 °C on May 16 under stable high pressure and light southerly flow consistent with mid-May climatology. This narrow range drives the near-100 % market-implied probability for exactly 20 °C, as official station readings at Esenboğa typically fall within one degree of model guidance on such days. Historical May averages near 22 °C provide context, yet today’s suppressed thermal anomaly keeps temperatures from exceeding the 20 °C threshold. Only an unexpected late-afternoon warming spike or localized model bias could realistically shift the outcome to 21 °C before final verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$65,371 Wol.
$65,371 Wol.
May 16, 2026
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$65,371 Wol.
$65,371 Wol.
May 16, 2026
20°C
$8,149 Wol.
100%
21°C
$18,803 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$7,128 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$6,273 Wol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$4,119 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast consensus from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts places Ankara’s daytime maximum at 20–21 °C on May 16 under stable high pressure and light southerly flow consistent with mid-May climatology. This narrow range drives the near-100 % market-implied probability for exactly 20 °C, as official station readings at Esenboğa typically fall within one degree of model guidance on such days. Historical May averages near 22 °C provide context, yet today’s suppressed thermal anomaly keeps temperatures from exceeding the 20 °C threshold. Only an unexpected late-afternoon warming spike or localized model bias could realistically shift the outcome to 21 °C before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$65,371Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast consensus from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts places Ankara’s daytime maximum at 20–21 °C on May 16 under stable high pressure and light southerly flow consistent with mid-May climatology. This narrow range drives the near-100 % market-implied probability for exactly 20 °C, as official station readings at Esenboğa typically fall within one degree of model guidance on such days. Historical May averages near 22 °C provide context, yet today’s suppressed thermal anomaly keeps temperatures from exceeding the 20 °C threshold. Only an unexpected late-afternoon warming spike or localized model bias could realistically shift the outcome to 21 °C before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$65,371Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current forecast consensus from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts places Ankara’s daytime maximum at 20–21 °C on May 16 under stable high pressure and light southerly flow consistent with mid-May climatology. This narrow range drives the near-100 % market-implied probability for exactly 20 °C, as official station readings at Esenboğa typically fall within one degree of model guidance on such days. Historical May averages near 22 °C provide context, yet today’s suppressed thermal anomaly keeps temperatures from exceeding the 20 °C threshold. Only an unexpected late-afternoon warming spike or localized model bias could realistically shift the outcome to 21 °C before final verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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