Recent numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate Beijing’s May 18 high temperature will most likely reach 25–27 °C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and moderate humidity. These conditions support modest daytime heating but limit rapid warming, keeping the market tightly clustered around the 26 °C and 27 °C outcomes. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact peak by 1 °C in either direction, which explains why the next-nearest probabilities remain competitive. Updated CMA guidance and the final 12-hour model runs before local noon on May 18 represent the key data releases that will determine resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on May 18?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 18?
27°C 30%
26°C 29%
25°C 19%
28°C 15%
NOWE
$10,471 Wol.
NOWE
$10,471 Wol.
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
19%
26°C
29%
27°C
30%
28°C
15%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 30%
26°C 29%
25°C 19%
28°C 15%
NOWE
$10,471 Wol.
NOWE
$10,471 Wol.
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
$3,287 Wol.
1%
23°C
$1,087 Wol.
2%
24°C
$1,801 Wol.
6%
25°C
$595 Wol.
19%
26°C
$708 Wol.
29%
27°C
$535 Wol.
30%
28°C
$316 Wol.
15%
29°C
$366 Wol.
2%
30°C
$332 Wol.
1%
31°C
$661 Wol.
1%
32°C or higher
$814 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate Beijing’s May 18 high temperature will most likely reach 25–27 °C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and moderate humidity. These conditions support modest daytime heating but limit rapid warming, keeping the market tightly clustered around the 26 °C and 27 °C outcomes. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact peak by 1 °C in either direction, which explains why the next-nearest probabilities remain competitive. Updated CMA guidance and the final 12-hour model runs before local noon on May 18 represent the key data releases that will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$10,471Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate Beijing’s May 18 high temperature will most likely reach 25–27 °C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and moderate humidity. These conditions support modest daytime heating but limit rapid warming, keeping the market tightly clustered around the 26 °C and 27 °C outcomes. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact peak by 1 °C in either direction, which explains why the next-nearest probabilities remain competitive. Updated CMA guidance and the final 12-hour model runs before local noon on May 18 represent the key data releases that will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$10,471Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAARecent numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate Beijing’s May 18 high temperature will most likely reach 25–27 °C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and moderate humidity. These conditions support modest daytime heating but limit rapid warming, keeping the market tightly clustered around the 26 °C and 27 °C outcomes. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact peak by 1 °C in either direction, which explains why the next-nearest probabilities remain competitive. Updated CMA guidance and the final 12-hour model runs before local noon on May 18 represent the key data releases that will determine resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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