Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR), the market's designated weather station, confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 26°C on May 14, 2026, amid dry, stable atmospheric conditions with light winds and partial cloud cover that aligned closely with pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Brazil's INMET/CPTEC models projecting highs near 26°C. This verified measurement from calibrated automated sensors—reporting hourly via METAR—has solidified trader consensus at 100% implied probability, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in aggregating real-time data. While revisions are exceedingly rare, a scenario challenging this could involve INMET quality control detecting a sensor anomaly and substituting data from a secondary station like Mirante de Santana showing a divergent peak. Final daily summaries from INMET are pending but expected to affirm the reading.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 14?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 14?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$48,949 Wol.
$48,949 Wol.
May 14, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$48,949 Wol.
$48,949 Wol.
May 14, 2026
21°C or below
$1,595 Wol.
No
22°C
$2,679 Wol.
No
23°C
$5,130 Wol.
No
24°C
$4,744 Wol.
No
25°C
$4,943 Wol.
No
26°C
$6,485 Wol.
Yes
27°C
$8,846 Wol.
No
28°C
$6,712 Wol.
No
29°C
$5,024 Wol.
No
30°C
$1,603 Wol.
No
31°C or higher
$1,189 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR), the market's designated weather station, confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 26°C on May 14, 2026, amid dry, stable atmospheric conditions with light winds and partial cloud cover that aligned closely with pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Brazil's INMET/CPTEC models projecting highs near 26°C. This verified measurement from calibrated automated sensors—reporting hourly via METAR—has solidified trader consensus at 100% implied probability, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in aggregating real-time data. While revisions are exceedingly rare, a scenario challenging this could involve INMET quality control detecting a sensor anomaly and substituting data from a secondary station like Mirante de Santana showing a divergent peak. Final daily summaries from INMET are pending but expected to affirm the reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Wolumen
$48,949Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR), the market's designated weather station, confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 26°C on May 14, 2026, amid dry, stable atmospheric conditions with light winds and partial cloud cover that aligned closely with pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Brazil's INMET/CPTEC models projecting highs near 26°C. This verified measurement from calibrated automated sensors—reporting hourly via METAR—has solidified trader consensus at 100% implied probability, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in aggregating real-time data. While revisions are exceedingly rare, a scenario challenging this could involve INMET quality control detecting a sensor anomaly and substituting data from a secondary station like Mirante de Santana showing a divergent peak. Final daily summaries from INMET are pending but expected to affirm the reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$48,949Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR), the market's designated weather station, confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 26°C on May 14, 2026, amid dry, stable atmospheric conditions with light winds and partial cloud cover that aligned closely with pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Brazil's INMET/CPTEC models projecting highs near 26°C. This verified measurement from calibrated automated sensors—reporting hourly via METAR—has solidified trader consensus at 100% implied probability, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in aggregating real-time data. While revisions are exceedingly rare, a scenario challenging this could involve INMET quality control detecting a sensor anomaly and substituting data from a secondary station like Mirante de Santana showing a divergent peak. Final daily summaries from INMET are pending but expected to affirm the reading.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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