Forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting numerical guidance currently project a daily high near 63°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on May 18, placing the outcome well above the 58°F threshold and aligning with the market’s dominant 99.2% implied probability for that bin. This expectation reflects typical mid-May climatology in the Pacific Northwest, where onshore flow often stabilizes daytime temperatures in the low-to-mid 60s, combined with the absence of any strong cold-air advection or marine layer strengthening in the latest runs. Minor uncertainty remains from potential shifts in the 850-hPa thermal ridge or unexpected cloud cover that could trim the high by a degree or two, though such revisions would still keep readings above 58°F in nearly all ensemble members.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seattle on May 18?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 18?
58°F or higher 99.2%
56-57°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
NOWE
$11,418 Wol.
NOWE
$11,418 Wol.
May 18, 2026
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58°F or higher
99%
58°F or higher 99.2%
56-57°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
NOWE
$11,418 Wol.
NOWE
$11,418 Wol.
May 18, 2026
39°F or below
$881 Wol.
<1%
40-41°F
$1,190 Wol.
<1%
42-43°F
$942 Wol.
<1%
44-45°F
$826 Wol.
<1%
46-47°F
$944 Wol.
<1%
48-49°F
$864 Wol.
<1%
50-51°F
$766 Wol.
<1%
52-53°F
$1,216 Wol.
<1%
54-55°F
$1,157 Wol.
<1%
56-57°F
$1,380 Wol.
1%
58°F or higher
$1,252 Wol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting numerical guidance currently project a daily high near 63°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on May 18, placing the outcome well above the 58°F threshold and aligning with the market’s dominant 99.2% implied probability for that bin. This expectation reflects typical mid-May climatology in the Pacific Northwest, where onshore flow often stabilizes daytime temperatures in the low-to-mid 60s, combined with the absence of any strong cold-air advection or marine layer strengthening in the latest runs. Minor uncertainty remains from potential shifts in the 850-hPa thermal ridge or unexpected cloud cover that could trim the high by a degree or two, though such revisions would still keep readings above 58°F in nearly all ensemble members.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$11,418Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting numerical guidance currently project a daily high near 63°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on May 18, placing the outcome well above the 58°F threshold and aligning with the market’s dominant 99.2% implied probability for that bin. This expectation reflects typical mid-May climatology in the Pacific Northwest, where onshore flow often stabilizes daytime temperatures in the low-to-mid 60s, combined with the absence of any strong cold-air advection or marine layer strengthening in the latest runs. Minor uncertainty remains from potential shifts in the 850-hPa thermal ridge or unexpected cloud cover that could trim the high by a degree or two, though such revisions would still keep readings above 58°F in nearly all ensemble members.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$11,418Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAForecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting numerical guidance currently project a daily high near 63°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on May 18, placing the outcome well above the 58°F threshold and aligning with the market’s dominant 99.2% implied probability for that bin. This expectation reflects typical mid-May climatology in the Pacific Northwest, where onshore flow often stabilizes daytime temperatures in the low-to-mid 60s, combined with the absence of any strong cold-air advection or marine layer strengthening in the latest runs. Minor uncertainty remains from potential shifts in the 850-hPa thermal ridge or unexpected cloud cover that could trim the high by a degree or two, though such revisions would still keep readings above 58°F in nearly all ensemble members.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania