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United States predictions & odds

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Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$579M Vol.

$2M today

$30M Liq.

907

Ends in over 2 years

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

24%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$1M today

$61M Liq.

730

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

37%

J.D. Vance

$616M Vol.

$953K today

$30M Liq.

389

Ends in over 2 years

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

79%

Democratic Party

$6M Vol.

$87.6K today

$551K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

44%

Democrats Sweep

$7M Vol.

$67.0K today

$539K Liq.

175

Ends in 6 months

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

26%

≤47

$2M Vol.

$235K Liq.

7

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

53%

Republican Party

$2M Vol.

$258K Liq.

49

Ends in 6 months

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

26%

Below 190

$231K Vol.

$146K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

17%

Kim Kardashian

$13.4K Vol.

$287K Liq.

Ends in about 2 years

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

78%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$322K Vol.

$21.3K Liq.

12

Ends in 6 months

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

80%

Not Extended & Democratic Party

$397K Vol.

$26.6K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

34%

22–23

$667K Vol.

$58.6K Liq.

4

Ends in 6 months

California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

39%

$8.1K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

32%

Vivek Ramaswamy

$7.3K Vol.

$303K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like United States.

Polymarket currently hosts 14 active markets for United States that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Presidential Election Winner 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.4B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “California voter ID referendum passes?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 24% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on United States predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.