The market-implied probability of 100% for a highest temperature of 41°C or below in Lucknow on May 16 reflects the India Meteorological Department’s official forecast of a maximum around 41°C, backed by recent observations showing daily highs of 37–39°C—well below seasonal norms. These subdued readings stem from persistent cloud cover and moisture influx that have limited daytime heating across northern India, consistent with current model consensus from the IMD and global ensembles. Historical May averages for Lucknow hover near 39–40°C, so today’s conditions represent a notable cool anomaly. The outcome could shift only if rapid clearing and intensified insolation push readings above the threshold before official verification closes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 16?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 16?
41°C or below 100.0%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
45°C <1%
$27,244 Объем
$27,244 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
41°C or below
100%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 100.0%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
45°C <1%
$27,244 Объем
$27,244 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
41°C or below
$5,576 Объем
100%
43°C
$4,526 Объем
<1%
44°C
$1,431 Объем
<1%
45°C
$3,732 Объем
<1%
46°C
$3,075 Объем
<1%
47°C
$757 Объем
<1%
48°C
$935 Объем
<1%
49°C
$1,813 Объем
<1%
50°C
$776 Объем
<1%
51°C or higher
$1,424 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied probability of 100% for a highest temperature of 41°C or below in Lucknow on May 16 reflects the India Meteorological Department’s official forecast of a maximum around 41°C, backed by recent observations showing daily highs of 37–39°C—well below seasonal norms. These subdued readings stem from persistent cloud cover and moisture influx that have limited daytime heating across northern India, consistent with current model consensus from the IMD and global ensembles. Historical May averages for Lucknow hover near 39–40°C, so today’s conditions represent a notable cool anomaly. The outcome could shift only if rapid clearing and intensified insolation push readings above the threshold before official verification closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Объем
$27,244Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied probability of 100% for a highest temperature of 41°C or below in Lucknow on May 16 reflects the India Meteorological Department’s official forecast of a maximum around 41°C, backed by recent observations showing daily highs of 37–39°C—well below seasonal norms. These subdued readings stem from persistent cloud cover and moisture influx that have limited daytime heating across northern India, consistent with current model consensus from the IMD and global ensembles. Historical May averages for Lucknow hover near 39–40°C, so today’s conditions represent a notable cool anomaly. The outcome could shift only if rapid clearing and intensified insolation push readings above the threshold before official verification closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$27,244Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The market-implied probability of 100% for a highest temperature of 41°C or below in Lucknow on May 16 reflects the India Meteorological Department’s official forecast of a maximum around 41°C, backed by recent observations showing daily highs of 37–39°C—well below seasonal norms. These subdued readings stem from persistent cloud cover and moisture influx that have limited daytime heating across northern India, consistent with current model consensus from the IMD and global ensembles. Historical May averages for Lucknow hover near 39–40°C, so today’s conditions represent a notable cool anomaly. The outcome could shift only if rapid clearing and intensified insolation push readings above the threshold before official verification closes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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