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Самая высокая температура в Токио 17 мая?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Токио 17 мая?

Самая высокая температура в Токио 17 мая?

мая 17

мая 18

мая 17

мая 18

29°C 44%

28°C 36%

30°C or higher 24%

27°C <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$51,758 Объем

29°C 44%

28°C 36%

30°C or higher 24%

27°C <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$51,758 Объем

20°C or below

$2,924 Объем

<1%

21°C

$1,793 Объем

<1%

22°C

$819 Объем

<1%

23°C

$5,184 Объем

<1%

24°C

$8,314 Объем

<1%

25°C

$7,128 Объем

<1%

26°C

$8,206 Объем

<1%

27°C

$6,080 Объем

<1%

28°C

$3,817 Объем

36%

29°C

$3,126 Объем

44%

30°C or higher

$5,200 Объем

24%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts place Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the Otemachi station, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Kanto region that favors southerly warm advection and strong afternoon insolation under mostly clear skies. These conditions support peak temperatures in the upper 20s, with modest model spread between runs keeping the 30 °C or higher outcome at roughly one-quarter implied probability. Historical mid-May climatology for the site centers around 23–25 °C, so the current setup represents above-average warmth that traders are weighing against the narrow range separating the leading 28 °C and 29 °C buckets.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$51,758
Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts place Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the Otemachi station, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Kanto region that favors southerly warm advection and strong afternoon insolation under mostly clear skies. These conditions support peak temperatures in the upper 20s, with modest model spread between runs keeping the 30 °C or higher outcome at roughly one-quarter implied probability. Historical mid-May climatology for the site centers around 23–25 °C, so the current setup represents above-average warmth that traders are weighing against the narrow range separating the leading 28 °C and 29 °C buckets.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$51,758
Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Токио 17 мая?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «29°C» с 44%, за ним следует «28°C» с 36%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 44¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 44%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Самая высокая температура в Токио 17 мая?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $51.8K с момента запуска рынка May 15, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Токио 17 мая?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Токио 17 мая?» — «29°C» с 44%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 44%. Следующий ближайший исход — «28°C» с 36%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Токио 17 мая?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.