Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts place Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the Otemachi station, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Kanto region that favors southerly warm advection and strong afternoon insolation under mostly clear skies. These conditions support peak temperatures in the upper 20s, with modest model spread between runs keeping the 30 °C or higher outcome at roughly one-quarter implied probability. Historical mid-May climatology for the site centers around 23–25 °C, so the current setup represents above-average warmth that traders are weighing against the narrow range separating the leading 28 °C and 29 °C buckets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Токио 17 мая?
29°C 44%
28°C 36%
30°C or higher 24%
27°C <1%
$51,758 Объем
$51,758 Объем
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
36%
29°C
44%
30°C or higher
24%
29°C 44%
28°C 36%
30°C or higher 24%
27°C <1%
$51,758 Объем
$51,758 Объем
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
36%
29°C
44%
30°C or higher
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts place Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the Otemachi station, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Kanto region that favors southerly warm advection and strong afternoon insolation under mostly clear skies. These conditions support peak temperatures in the upper 20s, with modest model spread between runs keeping the 30 °C or higher outcome at roughly one-quarter implied probability. Historical mid-May climatology for the site centers around 23–25 °C, so the current setup represents above-average warmth that traders are weighing against the narrow range separating the leading 28 °C and 29 °C buckets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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