Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble means from the GFS and ECMWF place the overnight low at LaGuardia Airport in the 53–56 °F range, anchoring the strongest market-implied odds on the 54–55 °F and 56–57 °F bins. A post-frontal cool air mass and lingering upper-level trough have suppressed daytime heat, while light northwest winds of 5–10 mph favor efficient radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Any increase in cloud cover or residual showers could limit overnight temperature drops and shift the low toward 56–57 °F, whereas clearer conditions would support readings closer to 52–53 °F. These near-term model trends and boundary-layer dynamics explain the tight clustering of trader positions around mid-50s outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 16 мая?
Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 16 мая?
56-57°F 66%
54-55°F 21%
52-53°F 18%
50-51°F 1.2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 мая 2026 г.
43°F или ниже
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
18%
54-55°F
39%
56-57°F
63%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62°F или выше
<1%
56-57°F 66%
54-55°F 21%
52-53°F 18%
50-51°F 1.2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 мая 2026 г.
43°F или ниже
$476 Объем
<1%
44-45°F
$458 Объем
<1%
46-47°F
$181 Объем
1%
48-49°F
$605 Объем
1%
50-51°F
$54 Объем
1%
52-53°F
$104 Объем
18%
54-55°F
$138 Объем
39%
56-57°F
$206 Объем
63%
58-59°F
$629 Объем
<1%
60-61°F
$2,506 Объем
<1%
62°F или выше
$2,426 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble means from the GFS and ECMWF place the overnight low at LaGuardia Airport in the 53–56 °F range, anchoring the strongest market-implied odds on the 54–55 °F and 56–57 °F bins. A post-frontal cool air mass and lingering upper-level trough have suppressed daytime heat, while light northwest winds of 5–10 mph favor efficient radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Any increase in cloud cover or residual showers could limit overnight temperature drops and shift the low toward 56–57 °F, whereas clearer conditions would support readings closer to 52–53 °F. These near-term model trends and boundary-layer dynamics explain the tight clustering of trader positions around mid-50s outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$7,772Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble means from the GFS and ECMWF place the overnight low at LaGuardia Airport in the 53–56 °F range, anchoring the strongest market-implied odds on the 54–55 °F and 56–57 °F bins. A post-frontal cool air mass and lingering upper-level trough have suppressed daytime heat, while light northwest winds of 5–10 mph favor efficient radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Any increase in cloud cover or residual showers could limit overnight temperature drops and shift the low toward 56–57 °F, whereas clearer conditions would support readings closer to 52–53 °F. These near-term model trends and boundary-layer dynamics explain the tight clustering of trader positions around mid-50s outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$7,772Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGALatest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble means from the GFS and ECMWF place the overnight low at LaGuardia Airport in the 53–56 °F range, anchoring the strongest market-implied odds on the 54–55 °F and 56–57 °F bins. A post-frontal cool air mass and lingering upper-level trough have suppressed daytime heat, while light northwest winds of 5–10 mph favor efficient radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Any increase in cloud cover or residual showers could limit overnight temperature drops and shift the low toward 56–57 °F, whereas clearer conditions would support readings closer to 52–53 °F. These near-term model trends and boundary-layer dynamics explain the tight clustering of trader positions around mid-50s outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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