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icon for Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Мир·Канада

Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Мир·Канада

Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Guillaume Cliche-Rivard 61%

Benoit Clermont 31%

Anthony Lavoie 4.8%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Guillaume Cliche-Rivard 61%

Benoit Clermont 31%

Anthony Lavoie 4.8%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Guillaume Cliche-Rivard

Guillaume Cliche-Rivard

$2,228 Объем

61%

icon for Benoit Clermont

Benoit Clermont

$1,229 Объем

31%

icon for Anthony Lavoie

Anthony Lavoie

$1,842 Объем

5%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Guillaume Cliche-Rivard, the incumbent Québec solidaire MNA, holds the strongest trader consensus in this riding at 61 percent implied probability, reflecting his 2023 by-election victory that ended decades of Liberal control in the left-leaning Montreal district. Local priorities such as housing affordability and immigration policy align with QS positioning, while Cliche-Rivard’s visibility as a former interim party co-spokesperson provides an organizational edge. Benoit Clermont, the Liberal challenger and former television producer, sits at 31 percent amid a broader provincial rebound for the party but limited personal profile in the riding. Anthony Lavoie of the CAQ trails at 5 percent, consistent with weaker party standing province-wide. Nominations closed September 17 ahead of the October 5 vote, leaving limited time for late shifts in turnout or endorsements to alter the competitive balance.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Объем
$5,300
Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Guillaume Cliche-Rivard, the incumbent Québec solidaire MNA, holds the strongest trader consensus in this riding at 61 percent implied probability, reflecting his 2023 by-election victory that ended decades of Liberal control in the left-leaning Montreal district. Local priorities such as housing affordability and immigration policy align with QS positioning, while Cliche-Rivard’s visibility as a former interim party co-spokesperson provides an organizational edge. Benoit Clermont, the Liberal challenger and former television producer, sits at 31 percent amid a broader provincial rebound for the party but limited personal profile in the riding. Anthony Lavoie of the CAQ trails at 5 percent, consistent with weaker party standing province-wide. Nominations closed September 17 ahead of the October 5 vote, leaving limited time for late shifts in turnout or endorsements to alter the competitive balance.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Объем
$5,300
Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 3 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Guillaume Cliche-Rivard» с 61%, за ним следует «Benoit Clermont» с 31%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 61¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 61%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 31, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner», просмотри 3 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner» — «Guillaume Cliche-Rivard» с 61%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 61%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Benoit Clermont» с 31%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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