The Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) recorded a minimum air temperature of 26.2°C on May 13, 2026—the lowest of the day—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 26°C outcome in this resolved market. This observation, captured via standard meteorological instruments from midnight through the full diurnal cycle, aligns with pre-event forecasts anticipating limited overnight cooling amid persistent humidity and scattered clouds, consistent with May climatology where average lows hover around 24–25°C but warmer anomalies prevail in 2026's record-hot year. Scenarios challenging this positioning are negligible, requiring an unprecedented HKO data revision due to instrumental malfunction, as verified readings represent authoritative ground truth with no further updates expected.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 13?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 13?
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$29,042 ปริมาณ
$29,042 ปริมาณ
May 13, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$29,042 ปริมาณ
$29,042 ปริมาณ
May 13, 2026
19°C or below
$398 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$804 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$652 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$975 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$1,499 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$2,271 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$2,875 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$4,942 ปริมาณ
Yes
27°C
$9,589 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$584 ปริมาณ
No
29°C or higher
$4,452 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) recorded a minimum air temperature of 26.2°C on May 13, 2026—the lowest of the day—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 26°C outcome in this resolved market. This observation, captured via standard meteorological instruments from midnight through the full diurnal cycle, aligns with pre-event forecasts anticipating limited overnight cooling amid persistent humidity and scattered clouds, consistent with May climatology where average lows hover around 24–25°C but warmer anomalies prevail in 2026's record-hot year. Scenarios challenging this positioning are negligible, requiring an unprecedented HKO data revision due to instrumental malfunction, as verified readings represent authoritative ground truth with no further updates expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,042วันสิ้นสุด
May 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) recorded a minimum air temperature of 26.2°C on May 13, 2026—the lowest of the day—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 26°C outcome in this resolved market. This observation, captured via standard meteorological instruments from midnight through the full diurnal cycle, aligns with pre-event forecasts anticipating limited overnight cooling amid persistent humidity and scattered clouds, consistent with May climatology where average lows hover around 24–25°C but warmer anomalies prevail in 2026's record-hot year. Scenarios challenging this positioning are negligible, requiring an unprecedented HKO data revision due to instrumental malfunction, as verified readings represent authoritative ground truth with no further updates expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,042วันสิ้นสุด
May 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) recorded a minimum air temperature of 26.2°C on May 13, 2026—the lowest of the day—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 26°C outcome in this resolved market. This observation, captured via standard meteorological instruments from midnight through the full diurnal cycle, aligns with pre-event forecasts anticipating limited overnight cooling amid persistent humidity and scattered clouds, consistent with May climatology where average lows hover around 24–25°C but warmer anomalies prevail in 2026's record-hot year. Scenarios challenging this positioning are negligible, requiring an unprecedented HKO data revision due to instrumental malfunction, as verified readings represent authoritative ground truth with no further updates expected.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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