Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the daily minimum air temperature at its Kowloon headquarters reached exactly 26°C on May 14, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent cloud cover from a nearby low-pressure trough, coupled with thunderstorm activity and high humidity, inhibited radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island amplified warmth—conditions aligning with May climatology where minimums average 25-27°C per 30-year normals. Preceding 9-day forecasts from HKO accurately projected this level amid normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures. Post-measurement revisions are exceedingly rare, but could theoretically arise from data validation errors; no such updates are anticipated.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 14?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 14?
26°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$31,007 ปริมาณ
$31,007 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$31,007 ปริมาณ
$31,007 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
17°C or below
$618 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$821 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$973 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$1,210 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$2,062 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$1,948 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$5,603 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$4,174 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$1,812 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$4,804 ปริมาณ
Yes
27°C or higher
$6,982 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the daily minimum air temperature at its Kowloon headquarters reached exactly 26°C on May 14, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent cloud cover from a nearby low-pressure trough, coupled with thunderstorm activity and high humidity, inhibited radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island amplified warmth—conditions aligning with May climatology where minimums average 25-27°C per 30-year normals. Preceding 9-day forecasts from HKO accurately projected this level amid normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures. Post-measurement revisions are exceedingly rare, but could theoretically arise from data validation errors; no such updates are anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,007วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the daily minimum air temperature at its Kowloon headquarters reached exactly 26°C on May 14, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent cloud cover from a nearby low-pressure trough, coupled with thunderstorm activity and high humidity, inhibited radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island amplified warmth—conditions aligning with May climatology where minimums average 25-27°C per 30-year normals. Preceding 9-day forecasts from HKO accurately projected this level amid normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures. Post-measurement revisions are exceedingly rare, but could theoretically arise from data validation errors; no such updates are anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,007วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the daily minimum air temperature at its Kowloon headquarters reached exactly 26°C on May 14, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent cloud cover from a nearby low-pressure trough, coupled with thunderstorm activity and high humidity, inhibited radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island amplified warmth—conditions aligning with May climatology where minimums average 25-27°C per 30-year normals. Preceding 9-day forecasts from HKO accurately projected this level amid normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures. Post-measurement revisions are exceedingly rare, but could theoretically arise from data validation errors; no such updates are anticipated.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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