Recent National Weather Service and private forecast models indicate Chicago will see a high temperature near 79°F on May 18, driven by southwest flow advecting warmer air from the central plains under mostly sunny conditions. This setup has pushed trader-implied odds for 78°F or higher to 84.5 percent, well above the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 71°F for the date. Recent observations show the region already experiencing above-average warmth, with highs reaching the low 80s in mid-May, reinforcing model consensus on continued mild conditions through the weekend. Final National Weather Service updates and real-time observations on the 18th will determine exact resolution, though current guidance shows limited risk of cooler marine influence or cloud cover altering the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on May 18?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 18?
78°F or higher 86%
76-77°F 13%
74-75°F 1.9%
72-73°F <1%
НОВЕ
$16,651 Обс.
НОВЕ
$16,651 Обс.
May 18, 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
13%
78°F or higher
86%
78°F or higher 86%
76-77°F 13%
74-75°F 1.9%
72-73°F <1%
НОВЕ
$16,651 Обс.
НОВЕ
$16,651 Обс.
May 18, 2026
59°F or below
$1,713 Обс.
<1%
60-61°F
$7,126 Обс.
<1%
62-63°F
$893 Обс.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,090 Обс.
<1%
66-67°F
$842 Обс.
<1%
68-69°F
$538 Обс.
<1%
70-71°F
$710 Обс.
1%
72-73°F
$648 Обс.
1%
74-75°F
$677 Обс.
2%
76-77°F
$1,122 Обс.
13%
78°F or higher
$1,291 Обс.
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service and private forecast models indicate Chicago will see a high temperature near 79°F on May 18, driven by southwest flow advecting warmer air from the central plains under mostly sunny conditions. This setup has pushed trader-implied odds for 78°F or higher to 84.5 percent, well above the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 71°F for the date. Recent observations show the region already experiencing above-average warmth, with highs reaching the low 80s in mid-May, reinforcing model consensus on continued mild conditions through the weekend. Final National Weather Service updates and real-time observations on the 18th will determine exact resolution, though current guidance shows limited risk of cooler marine influence or cloud cover altering the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$16,651Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service and private forecast models indicate Chicago will see a high temperature near 79°F on May 18, driven by southwest flow advecting warmer air from the central plains under mostly sunny conditions. This setup has pushed trader-implied odds for 78°F or higher to 84.5 percent, well above the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 71°F for the date. Recent observations show the region already experiencing above-average warmth, with highs reaching the low 80s in mid-May, reinforcing model consensus on continued mild conditions through the weekend. Final National Weather Service updates and real-time observations on the 18th will determine exact resolution, though current guidance shows limited risk of cooler marine influence or cloud cover altering the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$16,651Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDRecent National Weather Service and private forecast models indicate Chicago will see a high temperature near 79°F on May 18, driven by southwest flow advecting warmer air from the central plains under mostly sunny conditions. This setup has pushed trader-implied odds for 78°F or higher to 84.5 percent, well above the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 71°F for the date. Recent observations show the region already experiencing above-average warmth, with highs reaching the low 80s in mid-May, reinforcing model consensus on continued mild conditions through the weekend. Final National Weather Service updates and real-time observations on the 18th will determine exact resolution, though current guidance shows limited risk of cooler marine influence or cloud cover altering the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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