Recent ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service model runs project Istanbul’s peak temperature today reaching 25–27°C under southerly flow and high pressure that has replaced earlier mild ridging. This setup favors stronger daytime heating than the mid-May climatological average near 21°C, with limited cloud cover and light winds reducing marine moderation from the Bosphorus. Trader consensus at 63% for 25°C or higher aligns with these latest ensemble means, while the 27.5% slice for exactly 24°C captures residual uncertainty from possible afternoon sea-breeze onset. Hourly station observations through evening will resolve the outcome before final settlement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 16?
25°C or higher 76%
24°C 27%
23°C 6%
22°C 2.8%
НОВЕ
$11,220 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,220 Обс.
May 16, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
27%
25°C or higher
72%
25°C or higher 76%
24°C 27%
23°C 6%
22°C 2.8%
НОВЕ
$11,220 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,220 Обс.
May 16, 2026
15°C or below
$1,053 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$674 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$430 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$1,346 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$986 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$1,321 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$2,099 Обс.
1%
22°C
$1,325 Обс.
3%
23°C
$681 Обс.
6%
24°C
$536 Обс.
27%
25°C or higher
$862 Обс.
72%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service model runs project Istanbul’s peak temperature today reaching 25–27°C under southerly flow and high pressure that has replaced earlier mild ridging. This setup favors stronger daytime heating than the mid-May climatological average near 21°C, with limited cloud cover and light winds reducing marine moderation from the Bosphorus. Trader consensus at 63% for 25°C or higher aligns with these latest ensemble means, while the 27.5% slice for exactly 24°C captures residual uncertainty from possible afternoon sea-breeze onset. Hourly station observations through evening will resolve the outcome before final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$11,220Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service model runs project Istanbul’s peak temperature today reaching 25–27°C under southerly flow and high pressure that has replaced earlier mild ridging. This setup favors stronger daytime heating than the mid-May climatological average near 21°C, with limited cloud cover and light winds reducing marine moderation from the Bosphorus. Trader consensus at 63% for 25°C or higher aligns with these latest ensemble means, while the 27.5% slice for exactly 24°C captures residual uncertainty from possible afternoon sea-breeze onset. Hourly station observations through evening will resolve the outcome before final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$11,220Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service model runs project Istanbul’s peak temperature today reaching 25–27°C under southerly flow and high pressure that has replaced earlier mild ridging. This setup favors stronger daytime heating than the mid-May climatological average near 21°C, with limited cloud cover and light winds reducing marine moderation from the Bosphorus. Trader consensus at 63% for 25°C or higher aligns with these latest ensemble means, while the 27.5% slice for exactly 24°C captures residual uncertainty from possible afternoon sea-breeze onset. Hourly station observations through evening will resolve the outcome before final settlement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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