Current forecasts from European weather models and official sources, including the Met Office and Dutch meteorological services, indicate a peak of 33°C in Amsterdam on August 13 under clear skies, light winds, and southerly flow associated with a stable high-pressure system. This aligns with recent heatwave patterns observed in the Netherlands during summer 2026, where similar synoptic conditions produced verified maxima near this threshold. Traders have converged on this outcome because official daily maximum readings, typically taken at Schiphol or central stations, are expected to match the projected value with high confidence. A shift in cloud cover, stronger onshore breeze, or model error in boundary-layer mixing could alter the actual peak by 1–2°C and challenge resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
8月13日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
33°C 100.0%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$85,036 交易量
$85,036 交易量
2026-08-13
27°C或以下
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C或以上
否
33°C 100.0%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$85,036 交易量
$85,036 交易量
2026-08-13
27°C或以下
$1,093 交易量
否
28°C
$1,039 交易量
否
29°C
$1,112 交易量
否
30°C
$4,155 交易量
否
31°C
$6,744 交易量
否
32°C
$23,557 交易量
否
33°C
$19,786 交易量
是
34°C
$17,914 交易量
否
35°C
$6,594 交易量
否
36°C
$2,146 交易量
否
37°C或以上
$897 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from European weather models and official sources, including the Met Office and Dutch meteorological services, indicate a peak of 33°C in Amsterdam on August 13 under clear skies, light winds, and southerly flow associated with a stable high-pressure system. This aligns with recent heatwave patterns observed in the Netherlands during summer 2026, where similar synoptic conditions produced verified maxima near this threshold. Traders have converged on this outcome because official daily maximum readings, typically taken at Schiphol or central stations, are expected to match the projected value with high confidence. A shift in cloud cover, stronger onshore breeze, or model error in boundary-layer mixing could alter the actual peak by 1–2°C and challenge resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
交易量
$85,036結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from European weather models and official sources, including the Met Office and Dutch meteorological services, indicate a peak of 33°C in Amsterdam on August 13 under clear skies, light winds, and southerly flow associated with a stable high-pressure system. This aligns with recent heatwave patterns observed in the Netherlands during summer 2026, where similar synoptic conditions produced verified maxima near this threshold. Traders have converged on this outcome because official daily maximum readings, typically taken at Schiphol or central stations, are expected to match the projected value with high confidence. A shift in cloud cover, stronger onshore breeze, or model error in boundary-layer mixing could alter the actual peak by 1–2°C and challenge resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$85,036結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current forecasts from European weather models and official sources, including the Met Office and Dutch meteorological services, indicate a peak of 33°C in Amsterdam on August 13 under clear skies, light winds, and southerly flow associated with a stable high-pressure system. This aligns with recent heatwave patterns observed in the Netherlands during summer 2026, where similar synoptic conditions produced verified maxima near this threshold. Traders have converged on this outcome because official daily maximum readings, typically taken at Schiphol or central stations, are expected to match the projected value with high confidence. A shift in cloud cover, stronger onshore breeze, or model error in boundary-layer mixing could alter the actual peak by 1–2°C and challenge resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions