Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and local Dutch services indicate a maximum daytime temperature of exactly 23°C in Amsterdam on August 15, driven by a cooler air mass arriving after earlier regional heat. Model consensus and real-time observations align on this peak under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, placing the outcome firmly at the market's 100% implied probability. Historical August averages near 21°C provide supporting climatological context, though short-term variability from cloud cover or localized heating remains possible. Official station data at resolution will confirm the final reading, with minimal scope for revision given the day's advanced timing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
8月15日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
23°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$111,868 交易量
$111,868 交易量
2026-08-15
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
是
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或以上
否
23°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$111,868 交易量
$111,868 交易量
2026-08-15
20°C或以下
$362 交易量
否
21°C
$21,754 交易量
否
22°C
$13,653 交易量
否
23°C
$18,677 交易量
是
24°C
$15,849 交易量
否
25°C
$11,153 交易量
否
26°C
$11,884 交易量
否
27°C
$7,450 交易量
否
28°C
$9,922 交易量
否
29°C
$462 交易量
否
30°C或以上
$703 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and local Dutch services indicate a maximum daytime temperature of exactly 23°C in Amsterdam on August 15, driven by a cooler air mass arriving after earlier regional heat. Model consensus and real-time observations align on this peak under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, placing the outcome firmly at the market's 100% implied probability. Historical August averages near 21°C provide supporting climatological context, though short-term variability from cloud cover or localized heating remains possible. Official station data at resolution will confirm the final reading, with minimal scope for revision given the day's advanced timing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$111,868結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and local Dutch services indicate a maximum daytime temperature of exactly 23°C in Amsterdam on August 15, driven by a cooler air mass arriving after earlier regional heat. Model consensus and real-time observations align on this peak under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, placing the outcome firmly at the market's 100% implied probability. Historical August averages near 21°C provide supporting climatological context, though short-term variability from cloud cover or localized heating remains possible. Official station data at resolution will confirm the final reading, with minimal scope for revision given the day's advanced timing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$111,868結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and local Dutch services indicate a maximum daytime temperature of exactly 23°C in Amsterdam on August 15, driven by a cooler air mass arriving after earlier regional heat. Model consensus and real-time observations align on this peak under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, placing the outcome firmly at the market's 100% implied probability. Historical August averages near 21°C provide supporting climatological context, though short-term variability from cloud cover or localized heating remains possible. Official station data at resolution will confirm the final reading, with minimal scope for revision given the day's advanced timing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions