Current National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 28 project a high near 79–81°F under mostly sunny conditions with light south winds, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 81.3°F and recent stable late-summer patterns without significant warm or cool advection. These conditions support trader emphasis on the 82–83°F bin, as daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover typically allow peaks 1–2°F above official guidance at urban observation sites, while the modest 25% odds on 84–85°F reflect limited upside potential from any afternoon mixing or delayed clearing. Model consensus shows low variability, with resolution hinging on the precise observed maximum before evening cooling sets in.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日芝加哥的最高溫度?
82-83°F 69%
84-85°F 24%
80-81°F 9%
86-87°F 2%
$11,767 交易量
$11,767 交易量
華氏75度或以下
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
69%
84-85°F
24%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F或更高
<1%
82-83°F 69%
84-85°F 24%
80-81°F 9%
86-87°F 2%
$11,767 交易量
$11,767 交易量
華氏75度或以下
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
69%
84-85°F
24%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 28 project a high near 79–81°F under mostly sunny conditions with light south winds, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 81.3°F and recent stable late-summer patterns without significant warm or cool advection. These conditions support trader emphasis on the 82–83°F bin, as daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover typically allow peaks 1–2°F above official guidance at urban observation sites, while the modest 25% odds on 84–85°F reflect limited upside potential from any afternoon mixing or delayed clearing. Model consensus shows low variability, with resolution hinging on the precise observed maximum before evening cooling sets in.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions