Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity across Chongqing on June 12, 2026, have suppressed solar heating and kept maximum temperatures near 22°C at the official Jiangbei station, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models highlight enhanced moisture and reduced insolation tied to regional circulation patterns, well below typical early-June climatology of 28–30°C. Traders interpret these verified conditions and station measurement protocols as locking in the result, though a rapid afternoon clearing or model revision showing brief sunshine could still allow a late spike above the threshold before the daily high is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月12日重慶氣溫最高?
22°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
$57,370 交易量
$57,370 交易量
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
是
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或以上
否
22°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
$57,370 交易量
$57,370 交易量
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
是
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity across Chongqing on June 12, 2026, have suppressed solar heating and kept maximum temperatures near 22°C at the official Jiangbei station, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models highlight enhanced moisture and reduced insolation tied to regional circulation patterns, well below typical early-June climatology of 28–30°C. Traders interpret these verified conditions and station measurement protocols as locking in the result, though a rapid afternoon clearing or model revision showing brief sunshine could still allow a late spike above the threshold before the daily high is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions