Official National Weather Service observations from the Buckley Space Force Base station recorded a daily maximum of 82°F in Denver on August 15, 2026, aligning precisely with the 82–83°F outcome that commands full market-implied probability. This measurement reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure regime, with daytime heating moderated by regional moisture patterns and consistent with climatological normals near 88°F for the date. Model consensus from prior forecast runs supported limited variability, and post-event verification by authoritative agencies has left negligible room for revision. Only an unprecedented station-specific data correction or reclassification of the observation period could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain statistically rare for verified surface readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日丹佛的最高溫度？
8月15日丹佛的最高溫度？
82-83°F 100.0%
華氏73度或以下 <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$33,282 交易量
$33,282 交易量
2026-08-15
華氏73度或以下
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
是
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92°F或以上
否
82-83°F 100.0%
華氏73度或以下 <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$33,282 交易量
$33,282 交易量
2026-08-15
華氏73度或以下
$1,055 交易量
否
74-75°F
$2,625 交易量
否
76-77°F
$4,409 交易量
否
78-79°F
$4,709 交易量
否
80-81°F
$4,714 交易量
否
82-83°F
$4,461 交易量
是
84-85°F
$4,960 交易量
否
86-87°F
$3,333 交易量
否
88-89°F
$2,265 交易量
否
90-91°F
$459 交易量
否
92°F或以上
$291 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from the Buckley Space Force Base station recorded a daily maximum of 82°F in Denver on August 15, 2026, aligning precisely with the 82–83°F outcome that commands full market-implied probability. This measurement reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure regime, with daytime heating moderated by regional moisture patterns and consistent with climatological normals near 88°F for the date. Model consensus from prior forecast runs supported limited variability, and post-event verification by authoritative agencies has left negligible room for revision. Only an unprecedented station-specific data correction or reclassification of the observation period could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain statistically rare for verified surface readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$33,282結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from the Buckley Space Force Base station recorded a daily maximum of 82°F in Denver on August 15, 2026, aligning precisely with the 82–83°F outcome that commands full market-implied probability. This measurement reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure regime, with daytime heating moderated by regional moisture patterns and consistent with climatological normals near 88°F for the date. Model consensus from prior forecast runs supported limited variability, and post-event verification by authoritative agencies has left negligible room for revision. Only an unprecedented station-specific data correction or reclassification of the observation period could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain statistically rare for verified surface readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$33,282結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official National Weather Service observations from the Buckley Space Force Base station recorded a daily maximum of 82°F in Denver on August 15, 2026, aligning precisely with the 82–83°F outcome that commands full market-implied probability. This measurement reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure regime, with daytime heating moderated by regional moisture patterns and consistent with climatological normals near 88°F for the date. Model consensus from prior forecast runs supported limited variability, and post-event verification by authoritative agencies has left negligible room for revision. Only an unprecedented station-specific data correction or reclassification of the observation period could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain statistically rare for verified surface readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions