Recent forecast guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and international models indicates a daytime maximum in Helsinki of 20–22°C on August 5, driven by moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover that allows partial solar heating without strong advection of warmer air. This places 21°C and 22°C as the leading market outcomes at 46% and 38.5% implied probability, reflecting tight uncertainty in peak timing and local microclimate effects. Historical August averages near 19–20°C provide context, while the absence of blocking highs or warm-air intrusions keeps higher thresholds like 23°C+ at minimal odds. Updated model runs later today will refine the exact maximum before official station readings determine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日赫爾辛基的最高溫度?
21°C 49%
22°C 37%
20°C 14%
23°C 3%
$14,507 交易量
$14,507 交易量
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
14%
21°C
49%
22°C
37%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
21°C 49%
22°C 37%
20°C 14%
23°C 3%
$14,507 交易量
$14,507 交易量
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
14%
21°C
49%
22°C
37%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and international models indicates a daytime maximum in Helsinki of 20–22°C on August 5, driven by moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover that allows partial solar heating without strong advection of warmer air. This places 21°C and 22°C as the leading market outcomes at 46% and 38.5% implied probability, reflecting tight uncertainty in peak timing and local microclimate effects. Historical August averages near 19–20°C provide context, while the absence of blocking highs or warm-air intrusions keeps higher thresholds like 23°C+ at minimal odds. Updated model runs later today will refine the exact maximum before official station readings determine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions