Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate Istanbul is tracking toward a daily maximum of 27°C on August 15 under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate northeasterly winds that limit convective heating. Long-term August climatology supports this range, with typical highs near 27–29°C and minimal deviation expected absent unusual moisture influx. Trader consensus at 100% for 27°C reflects convergence across multiple model runs and real-time station data, underscoring low uncertainty for this resolution threshold. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecast localized warming could still push readings slightly higher before sunset, though such developments appear improbable given the current synoptic setup.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
8月15日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$39,891 交易量
$39,891 交易量
2026-08-15
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$39,891 交易量
$39,891 交易量
2026-08-15
22°C or below
$433 交易量
No
23°C
$1,081 交易量
No
24°C
$3,024 交易量
No
25°C
$5,138 交易量
No
26°C
$14,216 交易量
No
27°C
$8,227 交易量
Yes
28°C
$4,236 交易量
No
29°C
$2,509 交易量
No
30°C
$313 交易量
No
31°C
$342 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$372 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate Istanbul is tracking toward a daily maximum of 27°C on August 15 under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate northeasterly winds that limit convective heating. Long-term August climatology supports this range, with typical highs near 27–29°C and minimal deviation expected absent unusual moisture influx. Trader consensus at 100% for 27°C reflects convergence across multiple model runs and real-time station data, underscoring low uncertainty for this resolution threshold. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecast localized warming could still push readings slightly higher before sunset, though such developments appear improbable given the current synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$39,891結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate Istanbul is tracking toward a daily maximum of 27°C on August 15 under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate northeasterly winds that limit convective heating. Long-term August climatology supports this range, with typical highs near 27–29°C and minimal deviation expected absent unusual moisture influx. Trader consensus at 100% for 27°C reflects convergence across multiple model runs and real-time station data, underscoring low uncertainty for this resolution threshold. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecast localized warming could still push readings slightly higher before sunset, though such developments appear improbable given the current synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$39,891結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate Istanbul is tracking toward a daily maximum of 27°C on August 15 under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate northeasterly winds that limit convective heating. Long-term August climatology supports this range, with typical highs near 27–29°C and minimal deviation expected absent unusual moisture influx. Trader consensus at 100% for 27°C reflects convergence across multiple model runs and real-time station data, underscoring low uncertainty for this resolution threshold. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecast localized warming could still push readings slightly higher before sunset, though such developments appear improbable given the current synoptic setup.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions