PAGASA's Science Garden station in Quezon City— the official monitoring site for Metro Manila temperatures—recorded a peak of 35.3°C around 2:00 PM on May 13 amid a high-pressure ridge dominating the dry season pattern, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for a 35°C high. Partly cloudy skies and isolated showers limited further intensification, aligning with May climatology averages of 33–36°C highs and recent model runs projecting no exceedance. Final daily tallies expected from PAGASA by evening are unlikely to shift this, though an improbable late-afternoon clear-out could nudge toward 36°C if solar heating resumes unexpectedly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Manila on May 13?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 13?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$45,376 交易量
$45,376 交易量
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$45,376 交易量
$45,376 交易量
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 11, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
PAGASA's Science Garden station in Quezon City— the official monitoring site for Metro Manila temperatures—recorded a peak of 35.3°C around 2:00 PM on May 13 amid a high-pressure ridge dominating the dry season pattern, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for a 35°C high. Partly cloudy skies and isolated showers limited further intensification, aligning with May climatology averages of 33–36°C highs and recent model runs projecting no exceedance. Final daily tallies expected from PAGASA by evening are unlikely to shift this, though an improbable late-afternoon clear-out could nudge toward 36°C if solar heating resumes unexpectedly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions