Recent European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Italian Meteorological Service model runs indicate a peak of 34–36°C for Milan on August 13 under a persistent anticyclonic regime featuring clear skies and light winds. These conditions promote strong daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover or mixing, elevating temperatures well above the long-term August average of roughly 29–30°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 57.5% implied probability for 35°C and 31.5% for 36°C aligns with this consensus, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any residual cloud could adjust the final observed maximum at Malpensa station. Updated afternoon observations or final model guidance may refine the exact outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日米蘭的最高溫度?
35°C 64%
36°C 36%
34°C 8%
37°C <1%
$27,358 交易量
$27,358 交易量
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
8%
35°C
57%
36°C
36%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 64%
36°C 36%
34°C 8%
37°C <1%
$27,358 交易量
$27,358 交易量
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
8%
35°C
57%
36°C
36%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Italian Meteorological Service model runs indicate a peak of 34–36°C for Milan on August 13 under a persistent anticyclonic regime featuring clear skies and light winds. These conditions promote strong daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover or mixing, elevating temperatures well above the long-term August average of roughly 29–30°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 57.5% implied probability for 35°C and 31.5% for 36°C aligns with this consensus, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any residual cloud could adjust the final observed maximum at Malpensa station. Updated afternoon observations or final model guidance may refine the exact outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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