Latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensemble guidance, establish 18°C as the expected daily maximum for Moscow on August 12 under mostly cloudy skies and light winds following advection of cooler air. This consensus arises from short-range model runs showing limited diurnal heating due to persistent cloud cover and stable boundary-layer conditions, consistent with observed trends on similar late-summer days. Official station measurements will determine the precise peak, with resolution thresholds tied to standard meteorological criteria. Scenarios that could shift the outcome remain narrow, such as unexpected breaks in cloud allowing greater solar insolation or localized convective timing that alters the observed high by 1°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日莫斯科最高溫度？
8月12日莫斯科最高溫度？
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$66,364 交易量
$66,364 交易量
2026-08-12
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$66,364 交易量
$66,364 交易量
2026-08-12
12°C or below
$2,082 交易量
No
13°C
$867 交易量
No
14°C
$3,353 交易量
No
15°C
$2,986 交易量
No
16°C
$15,813 交易量
No
17°C
$14,251 交易量
No
18°C
$5,966 交易量
Yes
19°C
$5,600 交易量
No
20°C
$3,995 交易量
No
21°C
$3,357 交易量
No
22°C or higher
$8,096 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensemble guidance, establish 18°C as the expected daily maximum for Moscow on August 12 under mostly cloudy skies and light winds following advection of cooler air. This consensus arises from short-range model runs showing limited diurnal heating due to persistent cloud cover and stable boundary-layer conditions, consistent with observed trends on similar late-summer days. Official station measurements will determine the precise peak, with resolution thresholds tied to standard meteorological criteria. Scenarios that could shift the outcome remain narrow, such as unexpected breaks in cloud allowing greater solar insolation or localized convective timing that alters the observed high by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$66,364結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensemble guidance, establish 18°C as the expected daily maximum for Moscow on August 12 under mostly cloudy skies and light winds following advection of cooler air. This consensus arises from short-range model runs showing limited diurnal heating due to persistent cloud cover and stable boundary-layer conditions, consistent with observed trends on similar late-summer days. Official station measurements will determine the precise peak, with resolution thresholds tied to standard meteorological criteria. Scenarios that could shift the outcome remain narrow, such as unexpected breaks in cloud allowing greater solar insolation or localized convective timing that alters the observed high by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$66,364結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensemble guidance, establish 18°C as the expected daily maximum for Moscow on August 12 under mostly cloudy skies and light winds following advection of cooler air. This consensus arises from short-range model runs showing limited diurnal heating due to persistent cloud cover and stable boundary-layer conditions, consistent with observed trends on similar late-summer days. Official station measurements will determine the precise peak, with resolution thresholds tied to standard meteorological criteria. Scenarios that could shift the outcome remain narrow, such as unexpected breaks in cloud allowing greater solar insolation or localized convective timing that alters the observed high by 1°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions