Official forecasts from MetService and NIWA project a Wellington daily maximum near 14°C on August 12, 2026, consistent with the market’s 100% implied probability on that outcome. This aligns with August climatology of 12–13°C highs under typical westerly and southerly maritime flows, tempered by a developing front and moderating northerly influence that supports modest warming amid persistent cloud cover and elevated winds. Recent days saw cooler peaks of 10–12°C under stronger southerlies, but updated model runs indicate reduced chill without exceeding the narrow 13–15°C range. Small shifts in frontal timing or wind direction remain the primary variables that could alter the observed peak by 1°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
8月12日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
14°C 100.0%
9°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$146,823 交易量
$146,823 交易量
2026-08-12
9°C或以下
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C或更高
否
14°C 100.0%
9°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$146,823 交易量
$146,823 交易量
2026-08-12
9°C或以下
$9,271 交易量
否
10°C
$11,711 交易量
否
11°C
$18,058 交易量
否
12°C
$25,993 交易量
否
13°C
$27,881 交易量
否
14°C
$15,853 交易量
是
15°C
$19,736 交易量
否
16°C
$5,681 交易量
否
17°C
$3,992 交易量
否
18°C
$3,234 交易量
否
19°C或更高
$5,413 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and NIWA project a Wellington daily maximum near 14°C on August 12, 2026, consistent with the market’s 100% implied probability on that outcome. This aligns with August climatology of 12–13°C highs under typical westerly and southerly maritime flows, tempered by a developing front and moderating northerly influence that supports modest warming amid persistent cloud cover and elevated winds. Recent days saw cooler peaks of 10–12°C under stronger southerlies, but updated model runs indicate reduced chill without exceeding the narrow 13–15°C range. Small shifts in frontal timing or wind direction remain the primary variables that could alter the observed peak by 1°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$146,823結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and NIWA project a Wellington daily maximum near 14°C on August 12, 2026, consistent with the market’s 100% implied probability on that outcome. This aligns with August climatology of 12–13°C highs under typical westerly and southerly maritime flows, tempered by a developing front and moderating northerly influence that supports modest warming amid persistent cloud cover and elevated winds. Recent days saw cooler peaks of 10–12°C under stronger southerlies, but updated model runs indicate reduced chill without exceeding the narrow 13–15°C range. Small shifts in frontal timing or wind direction remain the primary variables that could alter the observed peak by 1°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$146,823結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official forecasts from MetService and NIWA project a Wellington daily maximum near 14°C on August 12, 2026, consistent with the market’s 100% implied probability on that outcome. This aligns with August climatology of 12–13°C highs under typical westerly and southerly maritime flows, tempered by a developing front and moderating northerly influence that supports modest warming amid persistent cloud cover and elevated winds. Recent days saw cooler peaks of 10–12°C under stronger southerlies, but updated model runs indicate reduced chill without exceeding the narrow 13–15°C range. Small shifts in frontal timing or wind direction remain the primary variables that could alter the observed peak by 1°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions