Recent US-Iran negotiations have centered on demands for a long-term halt to uranium enrichment and removal of Iran's highly enriched stockpile, yet Tehran has consistently countered with proposals for shorter pauses of five to 15 years, domestic downblending of material, and continued enrichment under IAEA supervision without facility dismantlement. As of mid-May 2026, talks remain stalled after Iran submitted a counterproposal that defers firm nuclear concessions and prioritizes sanctions relief and an end to hostilities, while US officials have sought upfront commitments on the stockpile and extended moratoriums. These positions leave little room for a public Iranian agreement to end all enrichment activities by the June 30 deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$1,383,794 交易量
$1,383,794 交易量
是
$1,383,794 交易量
$1,383,794 交易量
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-Iran negotiations have centered on demands for a long-term halt to uranium enrichment and removal of Iran's highly enriched stockpile, yet Tehran has consistently countered with proposals for shorter pauses of five to 15 years, domestic downblending of material, and continued enrichment under IAEA supervision without facility dismantlement. As of mid-May 2026, talks remain stalled after Iran submitted a counterproposal that defers firm nuclear concessions and prioritizes sanctions relief and an end to hostilities, while US officials have sought upfront commitments on the stockpile and extended moratoriums. These positions leave little room for a public Iranian agreement to end all enrichment activities by the June 30 deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions