Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 76-77°F at 100% implied probability for Miami's lowest temperature on May 13, 2026, confirmed by official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), which recorded a minimum of 77°F around 11:32 PM. This aligns with persistent southerly winds, high dew points near 72°F, and partly cloudy skies trapping heat in South Florida's urban environment, keeping overnight lows above the May climatological normal of 73°F. Model forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensembles had converged on this range 24-48 hours prior, reflecting stable subtropical conditions without cold air intrusions. Realistic challenges are minimal post-resolution, limited to rare NWS quality-control revisions for sensor anomalies, with final data typically unadjusted.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月13日邁阿密的最低溫度?
76-77°F 100.0%
71°F或更低 <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$15,756 交易量
$15,756 交易量
71°F或更低
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
是
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
華氏90度或以上
否
76-77°F 100.0%
71°F或更低 <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$15,756 交易量
$15,756 交易量
71°F或更低
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
是
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
華氏90度或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 76-77°F at 100% implied probability for Miami's lowest temperature on May 13, 2026, confirmed by official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), which recorded a minimum of 77°F around 11:32 PM. This aligns with persistent southerly winds, high dew points near 72°F, and partly cloudy skies trapping heat in South Florida's urban environment, keeping overnight lows above the May climatological normal of 73°F. Model forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensembles had converged on this range 24-48 hours prior, reflecting stable subtropical conditions without cold air intrusions. Realistic challenges are minimal post-resolution, limited to rare NWS quality-control revisions for sensor anomalies, with final data typically unadjusted.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions