Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a nighttime low of 6°C in Moscow on September 13 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and no precipitation expected. Model consensus, including GFS runs, aligns closely with this projection, consistent with typical early September climatology for the region where overnight minima often settle near 6–8°C. The market's 95% implied probability on 6°C reflects strong trader confidence in these authoritative data and limited forecast spread. A realistic challenge could arise from unanticipated shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that either enhance radiative cooling or introduce warmer advection, potentially altering the exact minimum by 1–2°C before final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日莫斯科最低溫度？
9月13日莫斯科最低溫度？
6°C 95%
4°C 28.2%
2°C或以下 5.9%
3°C <1%
$3,475 交易量
$3,475 交易量
2026-09-13
2°C或以下
否
3°C
否
4°C
否
5°C
否
6°C
是
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C或以上
否
6°C 95%
4°C 28.2%
2°C或以下 5.9%
3°C <1%
$3,475 交易量
$3,475 交易量
2026-09-13
2°C或以下
$0 交易量
否
3°C
$65 交易量
否
4°C
$5 交易量
否
5°C
$125 交易量
否
6°C
$709 交易量
是
7°C
$232 交易量
否
8°C
$217 交易量
否
9°C
$133 交易量
否
10°C
$0 交易量
否
11°C
$1,975 交易量
否
12°C或以上
$15 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a nighttime low of 6°C in Moscow on September 13 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and no precipitation expected. Model consensus, including GFS runs, aligns closely with this projection, consistent with typical early September climatology for the region where overnight minima often settle near 6–8°C. The market's 95% implied probability on 6°C reflects strong trader confidence in these authoritative data and limited forecast spread. A realistic challenge could arise from unanticipated shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that either enhance radiative cooling or introduce warmer advection, potentially altering the exact minimum by 1–2°C before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$3,475結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a nighttime low of 6°C in Moscow on September 13 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and no precipitation expected. Model consensus, including GFS runs, aligns closely with this projection, consistent with typical early September climatology for the region where overnight minima often settle near 6–8°C. The market's 95% implied probability on 6°C reflects strong trader confidence in these authoritative data and limited forecast spread. A realistic challenge could arise from unanticipated shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that either enhance radiative cooling or introduce warmer advection, potentially altering the exact minimum by 1–2°C before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,475結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a nighttime low of 6°C in Moscow on September 13 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and no precipitation expected. Model consensus, including GFS runs, aligns closely with this projection, consistent with typical early September climatology for the region where overnight minima often settle near 6–8°C. The market's 95% implied probability on 6°C reflects strong trader confidence in these authoritative data and limited forecast spread. A realistic challenge could arise from unanticipated shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that either enhance radiative cooling or introduce warmer advection, potentially altering the exact minimum by 1–2°C before final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions