Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance consistently projected overnight lows near 69°F for New York City on August 15, 2026, under a stable high-pressure ridge with dew points in the mid-60s and minimal marine influence. This aligned with Central Park climatological normals and urban heat island moderation, producing the market’s near-certain 68-69°F outcome. Limited model spread and absence of frontal passages reinforced trader consensus on this narrow range. An unforecasted cold-air advection event or late model error could have shifted results lower, though the tight clustering of probabilities above 99% reflected strong observational and dynamical support for the expected minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日紐約市的最低溫度？
8月15日紐約市的最低溫度？
68-69°F 100.0%
華氏57度或更低 <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$24,958 交易量
$24,958 交易量
2026-08-15
華氏57度或更低
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
是
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76°F或更高
否
68-69°F 100.0%
華氏57度或更低 <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$24,958 交易量
$24,958 交易量
2026-08-15
華氏57度或更低
$336 交易量
否
58-59°F
$317 交易量
否
60-61°F
$1,095 交易量
否
62-63°F
$927 交易量
否
64-65°F
$824 交易量
否
66-67°F
$920 交易量
否
68-69°F
$2,892 交易量
是
70-71°F
$12,936 交易量
否
72-73°F
$2,410 交易量
否
74-75°F
$1,410 交易量
否
76°F或更高
$891 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance consistently projected overnight lows near 69°F for New York City on August 15, 2026, under a stable high-pressure ridge with dew points in the mid-60s and minimal marine influence. This aligned with Central Park climatological normals and urban heat island moderation, producing the market’s near-certain 68-69°F outcome. Limited model spread and absence of frontal passages reinforced trader consensus on this narrow range. An unforecasted cold-air advection event or late model error could have shifted results lower, though the tight clustering of probabilities above 99% reflected strong observational and dynamical support for the expected minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
交易量
$24,958結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance consistently projected overnight lows near 69°F for New York City on August 15, 2026, under a stable high-pressure ridge with dew points in the mid-60s and minimal marine influence. This aligned with Central Park climatological normals and urban heat island moderation, producing the market’s near-certain 68-69°F outcome. Limited model spread and absence of frontal passages reinforced trader consensus on this narrow range. An unforecasted cold-air advection event or late model error could have shifted results lower, though the tight clustering of probabilities above 99% reflected strong observational and dynamical support for the expected minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$24,958結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance consistently projected overnight lows near 69°F for New York City on August 15, 2026, under a stable high-pressure ridge with dew points in the mid-60s and minimal marine influence. This aligned with Central Park climatological normals and urban heat island moderation, producing the market’s near-certain 68-69°F outcome. Limited model spread and absence of frontal passages reinforced trader consensus on this narrow range. An unforecasted cold-air advection event or late model error could have shifted results lower, though the tight clustering of probabilities above 99% reflected strong observational and dynamical support for the expected minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions