Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon and Seoul on August 25 project overnight lows of 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward 25–26°C outcomes. Late-August conditions feature typical post-monsoon humidity that limits radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and light southerly flow keep minimum temperatures above seasonal norms near 23°C. Model consensus shows little day-to-day variability ahead of the 24-hour observation window, though any unexpected clear-sky development could briefly push readings lower. Traders appear to anchor on these official guidance thresholds rather than historical August averages around 24°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日是首爾(仁川)的最低溫度?
26°C 49%
25°C 35%
27°C 15%
24°C 5%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
35%
26°C
49%
27°C
15%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
26°C 49%
25°C 35%
27°C 15%
24°C 5%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
35%
26°C
49%
27°C
15%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon and Seoul on August 25 project overnight lows of 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward 25–26°C outcomes. Late-August conditions feature typical post-monsoon humidity that limits radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and light southerly flow keep minimum temperatures above seasonal norms near 23°C. Model consensus shows little day-to-day variability ahead of the 24-hour observation window, though any unexpected clear-sky development could briefly push readings lower. Traders appear to anchor on these official guidance thresholds rather than historical August averages around 24°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions