Recent ensemble forecasts and Korea Meteorological Administration guidance point to an overnight minimum near 25°C for Seoul-Incheon on August 26, supported by persistent warm, humid air along the North Pacific high's edge and widespread cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Westerly winds of 3–7 m/s and dew points around 24–25°C further suppress temperature drops, consistent with late-August climatology where minima often stabilize above 24°C under similar monsoon remnants. Model consensus shows modest spread tied to potential localized clearing or timing of any showers, which could shift the low by 1–2°C. Updated KMA briefings and next global model runs will provide key refinements ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日首爾(仁川)最低溫度?
21°C或以下 67%
31°C或更高 55%
25°C 34%
22°C 33%
21°C或以下
67%
22°C
33%
23°C
14%
24°C
18%
25°C
34%
26°C
33%
27°C
18%
28°C
14%
29°C
32%
30°C
29%
31°C或更高
55%
21°C或以下 67%
31°C或更高 55%
25°C 34%
22°C 33%
21°C或以下
67%
22°C
33%
23°C
14%
24°C
18%
25°C
34%
26°C
33%
27°C
18%
28°C
14%
29°C
32%
30°C
29%
31°C或更高
55%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts and Korea Meteorological Administration guidance point to an overnight minimum near 25°C for Seoul-Incheon on August 26, supported by persistent warm, humid air along the North Pacific high's edge and widespread cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Westerly winds of 3–7 m/s and dew points around 24–25°C further suppress temperature drops, consistent with late-August climatology where minima often stabilize above 24°C under similar monsoon remnants. Model consensus shows modest spread tied to potential localized clearing or timing of any showers, which could shift the low by 1–2°C. Updated KMA briefings and next global model runs will provide key refinements ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions