Recent activation of the CDC’s Emergency Operations Center at Level 3 for a hantavirus outbreak linked to Antarctic cruise travel has elevated trader expectations, pushing the implied probability for a formal Travel Health Notice at Level 3—advising reconsideration of nonessential travel—to 75.5 percent by December 31. Ongoing global dengue circulation, expanding measles outbreaks, and continued H5N1 avian influenza surveillance add to the outlook, as these pathogens frequently prompt escalated CDC advisories when case thresholds or geographic spread increase. Historical patterns show multiple Level 3 notices issued annually during peak respiratory and vector-borne seasons, with weekly surveillance updates through fall providing fresh data that could either reinforce or temper current consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$117,078 交易量
$117,078 交易量
是
$117,078 交易量
$117,078 交易量
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间: Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent activation of the CDC’s Emergency Operations Center at Level 3 for a hantavirus outbreak linked to Antarctic cruise travel has elevated trader expectations, pushing the implied probability for a formal Travel Health Notice at Level 3—advising reconsideration of nonessential travel—to 75.5 percent by December 31. Ongoing global dengue circulation, expanding measles outbreaks, and continued H5N1 avian influenza surveillance add to the outlook, as these pathogens frequently prompt escalated CDC advisories when case thresholds or geographic spread increase. Historical patterns show multiple Level 3 notices issued annually during peak respiratory and vector-borne seasons, with weekly surveillance updates through fall providing fresh data that could either reinforce or temper current consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题