Trader consensus implies a 75.5% probability of the CDC issuing a Level 3 Travel Health Notice—recommending travelers reconsider nonessential trips to affected areas—by December 31, 2026, driven primarily by the unprecedented U.S. measles outbreak, with over 1,800 confirmed cases and 25 outbreaks reported in the first four months, 93% outbreak-associated per CDC surveillance. This surge, fueled by low vaccination rates and international travel introductions, heightens risks alongside a multi-country hantavirus cluster linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship, prompting CDC's Level 3 emergency operations center activation last week despite low public transmission risk. No Level 3 notices are active currently, but escalating epidemiological indicators and seasonal travel could trigger one; watch weekly CDC case updates and global outbreak reports for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$117,038 交易量
$117,038 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$117,038 交易量
$117,038 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus implies a 75.5% probability of the CDC issuing a Level 3 Travel Health Notice—recommending travelers reconsider nonessential trips to affected areas—by December 31, 2026, driven primarily by the unprecedented U.S. measles outbreak, with over 1,800 confirmed cases and 25 outbreaks reported in the first four months, 93% outbreak-associated per CDC surveillance. This surge, fueled by low vaccination rates and international travel introductions, heightens risks alongside a multi-country hantavirus cluster linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship, prompting CDC's Level 3 emergency operations center activation last week despite low public transmission risk. No Level 3 notices are active currently, but escalating epidemiological indicators and seasonal travel could trigger one; watch weekly CDC case updates and global outbreak reports for shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
交易量
$117,038结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus implies a 75.5% probability of the CDC issuing a Level 3 Travel Health Notice—recommending travelers reconsider nonessential trips to affected areas—by December 31, 2026, driven primarily by the unprecedented U.S. measles outbreak, with over 1,800 confirmed cases and 25 outbreaks reported in the first four months, 93% outbreak-associated per CDC surveillance. This surge, fueled by low vaccination rates and international travel introductions, heightens risks alongside a multi-country hantavirus cluster linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship, prompting CDC's Level 3 emergency operations center activation last week despite low public transmission risk. No Level 3 notices are active currently, but escalating epidemiological indicators and seasonal travel could trigger one; watch weekly CDC case updates and global outbreak reports for shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$117,038结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus implies a 75.5% probability of the CDC issuing a Level 3 Travel Health Notice—recommending travelers reconsider nonessential trips to affected areas—by December 31, 2026, driven primarily by the unprecedented U.S. measles outbreak, with over 1,800 confirmed cases and 25 outbreaks reported in the first four months, 93% outbreak-associated per CDC surveillance. This surge, fueled by low vaccination rates and international travel introductions, heightens risks alongside a multi-country hantavirus cluster linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship, prompting CDC's Level 3 emergency operations center activation last week despite low public transmission risk. No Level 3 notices are active currently, but escalating epidemiological indicators and seasonal travel could trigger one; watch weekly CDC case updates and global outbreak reports for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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