Hawaii's 1st congressional district maintains a solid Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 partisan voter index and consistent support for the party in recent cycles. Incumbent Ed Case holds a substantial fundraising edge and leads early primary polling ahead of the August 8 contest, while Republican candidates remain limited in visibility and resources for the November general election. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a commanding probability based on these structural advantages and the absence of competitive opposition. Late developments that could alter the outcome include an unexpected primary upset or a major scandal involving the eventual Democratic standard-bearer.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$23,749 交易量
$23,749 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
$23,749 交易量
$23,749 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$10,341 交易量
94%
共和党
$13,408 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hawaii's 1st congressional district maintains a solid Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 partisan voter index and consistent support for the party in recent cycles. Incumbent Ed Case holds a substantial fundraising edge and leads early primary polling ahead of the August 8 contest, while Republican candidates remain limited in visibility and resources for the November general election. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a commanding probability based on these structural advantages and the absence of competitive opposition. Late developments that could alter the outcome include an unexpected primary upset or a major scandal involving the eventual Democratic standard-bearer.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$23,749结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hawaii's 1st congressional district maintains a solid Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 partisan voter index and consistent support for the party in recent cycles. Incumbent Ed Case holds a substantial fundraising edge and leads early primary polling ahead of the August 8 contest, while Republican candidates remain limited in visibility and resources for the November general election. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a commanding probability based on these structural advantages and the absence of competitive opposition. Late developments that could alter the outcome include an unexpected primary upset or a major scandal involving the eventual Democratic standard-bearer.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$23,749结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Hawaii's 1st congressional district maintains a solid Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 partisan voter index and consistent support for the party in recent cycles. Incumbent Ed Case holds a substantial fundraising edge and leads early primary polling ahead of the August 8 contest, while Republican candidates remain limited in visibility and resources for the November general election. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a commanding probability based on these structural advantages and the absence of competitive opposition. Late developments that could alter the outcome include an unexpected primary upset or a major scandal involving the eventual Democratic standard-bearer.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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