**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models place Chicago’s high on August 27 in the upper 70s to low 80s, with 80–81 °F emerging as the consensus outcome.** A cold front has shifted winds to the northwest and northeast, advecting cooler, drier air behind it and limiting afternoon heating under partly to mostly sunny skies. This setup caps daytime maxima near or slightly below seasonal normals (historical average high ~81–82 °F), while the lake breeze and light winds further moderate temperatures. Recent model runs and official guidance show little spread, with most solutions clustering between 78–83 °F and minimal risk of either widespread cloud cover or stronger warming. The 57 % market-implied probability on 80–81 °F and secondary support for 78–79 °F and 82–83 °F therefore reflect the tight clustering of authoritative forecasts rather than any outlier scenario. Traders appear to be weighting the latest NWS point forecasts and ensemble consensus most heavily ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于芝加哥8月27日最高气温？
芝加哥8月27日最高气温？
80-81°F 56%
78-79°F 21%
82-83°F 19%
84-85°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
73°F或以下
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
56%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
2%
92华氏度或更高
<1%
80-81°F 56%
78-79°F 21%
82-83°F 19%
84-85°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
73°F或以下
$283 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
2%
76-77°F
$87 交易量
3%
78-79°F
$52 交易量
21%
80-81°F
$244 交易量
56%
82-83°F
$179 交易量
19%
84-85°F
$111 交易量
4%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
3%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
3%
90-91°F
$0 交易量
2%
92华氏度或更高
$253 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models place Chicago’s high on August 27 in the upper 70s to low 80s, with 80–81 °F emerging as the consensus outcome.** A cold front has shifted winds to the northwest and northeast, advecting cooler, drier air behind it and limiting afternoon heating under partly to mostly sunny skies. This setup caps daytime maxima near or slightly below seasonal normals (historical average high ~81–82 °F), while the lake breeze and light winds further moderate temperatures.
Recent model runs and official guidance show little spread, with most solutions clustering between 78–83 °F and minimal risk of either widespread cloud cover or stronger warming. The 57 % market-implied probability on 80–81 °F and secondary support for 78–79 °F and 82–83 °F therefore reflect the tight clustering of authoritative forecasts rather than any outlier scenario. Traders appear to be weighting the latest NWS point forecasts and ensemble consensus most heavily ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$1,209结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models place Chicago’s high on August 27 in the upper 70s to low 80s, with 80–81 °F emerging as the consensus outcome.** A cold front has shifted winds to the northwest and northeast, advecting cooler, drier air behind it and limiting afternoon heating under partly to mostly sunny skies. This setup caps daytime maxima near or slightly below seasonal normals (historical average high ~81–82 °F), while the lake breeze and light winds further moderate temperatures.
Recent model runs and official guidance show little spread, with most solutions clustering between 78–83 °F and minimal risk of either widespread cloud cover or stronger warming. The 57 % market-implied probability on 80–81 °F and secondary support for 78–79 °F and 82–83 °F therefore reflect the tight clustering of authoritative forecasts rather than any outlier scenario. Traders appear to be weighting the latest NWS point forecasts and ensemble consensus most heavily ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,209结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models place Chicago’s high on August 27 in the upper 70s to low 80s, with 80–81 °F emerging as the consensus outcome.** A cold front has shifted winds to the northwest and northeast, advecting cooler, drier air behind it and limiting afternoon heating under partly to mostly sunny skies. This setup caps daytime maxima near or slightly below seasonal normals (historical average high ~81–82 °F), while the lake breeze and light winds further moderate temperatures. Recent model runs and official guidance show little spread, with most solutions clustering between 78–83 °F and minimal risk of either widespread cloud cover or stronger warming. The 57 % market-implied probability on 80–81 °F and secondary support for 78–79 °F and 82–83 °F therefore reflect the tight clustering of authoritative forecasts rather than any outlier scenario. Traders appear to be weighting the latest NWS point forecasts and ensemble consensus most heavily ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题