National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 15 point to sunny skies and a high near 101°F under an active heat advisory, driving the market's 89% implied probability on the 100-101°F bin. Persistent regional heat, typical mid-August climatology with strong solar insolation and minimal cloud cover, and model consensus on southerly flow suppressing cooler air support this positioning over lower or higher outcomes. Traders weigh official observations from KDFW against any late-day variability, with probabilities below 2% on bins outside 98-103°F reflecting limited forecast spread. Updated model runs and real-time temperature trends will refine resolution as the day progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日达拉斯的最高温度？
8月15日达拉斯的最高温度？
100-101°F 89%
98-99°F 10%
102-103°F 2%
104-105°F <1%
$33,881 交易量
$33,881 交易量
2026-08-15
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
10%
100-101°F
89%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 89%
98-99°F 10%
102-103°F 2%
104-105°F <1%
$33,881 交易量
$33,881 交易量
2026-08-15
93°F or below
$387 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$1,975 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$2,220 交易量
<1%
98-99°F
$6,128 交易量
10%
100-101°F
$14,615 交易量
89%
102-103°F
$3,524 交易量
2%
104-105°F
$1,979 交易量
1%
106-107°F
$1,625 交易量
<1%
108-109°F
$677 交易量
<1%
110-111°F
$276 交易量
<1%
112°F or higher
$475 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 15 point to sunny skies and a high near 101°F under an active heat advisory, driving the market's 89% implied probability on the 100-101°F bin. Persistent regional heat, typical mid-August climatology with strong solar insolation and minimal cloud cover, and model consensus on southerly flow suppressing cooler air support this positioning over lower or higher outcomes. Traders weigh official observations from KDFW against any late-day variability, with probabilities below 2% on bins outside 98-103°F reflecting limited forecast spread. Updated model runs and real-time temperature trends will refine resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$33,881结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 15 point to sunny skies and a high near 101°F under an active heat advisory, driving the market's 89% implied probability on the 100-101°F bin. Persistent regional heat, typical mid-August climatology with strong solar insolation and minimal cloud cover, and model consensus on southerly flow suppressing cooler air support this positioning over lower or higher outcomes. Traders weigh official observations from KDFW against any late-day variability, with probabilities below 2% on bins outside 98-103°F reflecting limited forecast spread. Updated model runs and real-time temperature trends will refine resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$33,881结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETNational Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 15 point to sunny skies and a high near 101°F under an active heat advisory, driving the market's 89% implied probability on the 100-101°F bin. Persistent regional heat, typical mid-August climatology with strong solar insolation and minimal cloud cover, and model consensus on southerly flow suppressing cooler air support this positioning over lower or higher outcomes. Traders weigh official observations from KDFW against any late-day variability, with probabilities below 2% on bins outside 98-103°F reflecting limited forecast spread. Updated model runs and real-time temperature trends will refine resolution as the day progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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