Traders overwhelmingly favor a 22°C high in São Paulo on August 15 due to the latest ensemble forecasts and real-time observations from agencies like the Brazilian National Institute of Meteorology, which show stable subtropical high pressure, moderate Atlantic winds, and sufficient cloud cover suppressing daytime heating during Southern Hemisphere winter. Climatological averages for mid-August hover near 23–25°C, but current model consensus and surface data have converged tightly on this lower threshold. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or an unexpected warm advection event could push readings higher and shift odds, though such changes appear unlikely given the locked-in synoptic pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日圣保罗的最高温度？
8月15日圣保罗的最高温度？
22°C 99.8%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
$50,245 交易量
$50,245 交易量
2026-08-15
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99.8%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
$50,245 交易量
$50,245 交易量
2026-08-15
20°C or below
$9,249 交易量
<1%
21°C
$2,245 交易量
<1%
22°C
$4,883 交易量
100%
23°C
$13,502 交易量
<1%
24°C
$5,079 交易量
<1%
25°C
$3,787 交易量
<1%
26°C
$6,594 交易量
<1%
27°C
$2,719 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,168 交易量
<1%
29°C
$653 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$367 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders overwhelmingly favor a 22°C high in São Paulo on August 15 due to the latest ensemble forecasts and real-time observations from agencies like the Brazilian National Institute of Meteorology, which show stable subtropical high pressure, moderate Atlantic winds, and sufficient cloud cover suppressing daytime heating during Southern Hemisphere winter. Climatological averages for mid-August hover near 23–25°C, but current model consensus and surface data have converged tightly on this lower threshold. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or an unexpected warm advection event could push readings higher and shift odds, though such changes appear unlikely given the locked-in synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
交易量
$50,245结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders overwhelmingly favor a 22°C high in São Paulo on August 15 due to the latest ensemble forecasts and real-time observations from agencies like the Brazilian National Institute of Meteorology, which show stable subtropical high pressure, moderate Atlantic winds, and sufficient cloud cover suppressing daytime heating during Southern Hemisphere winter. Climatological averages for mid-August hover near 23–25°C, but current model consensus and surface data have converged tightly on this lower threshold. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or an unexpected warm advection event could push readings higher and shift odds, though such changes appear unlikely given the locked-in synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$50,245结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETTraders overwhelmingly favor a 22°C high in São Paulo on August 15 due to the latest ensemble forecasts and real-time observations from agencies like the Brazilian National Institute of Meteorology, which show stable subtropical high pressure, moderate Atlantic winds, and sufficient cloud cover suppressing daytime heating during Southern Hemisphere winter. Climatological averages for mid-August hover near 23–25°C, but current model consensus and surface data have converged tightly on this lower threshold. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or an unexpected warm advection event could push readings higher and shift odds, though such changes appear unlikely given the locked-in synoptic pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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