Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with occasional scattered showers for Tokyo on August 16, limiting peak solar insolation and supporting a maximum temperature near 29°C. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 28–29°C outcomes, as cloud cover and potential precipitation enhance evaporative cooling amid typical late-summer humidity levels above 70%. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on exact shower timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention, which models resolve only within a 1–2°C range. Historical August baselines near 31–32°C highlight how these transient factors suppress extremes, with final resolution depending on official JMA verification of the daily high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日东京气温最高？
8月16日东京气温最高？
29°C 41%
28°C 34%
27°C 12%
30°C 12%
最新
$30,760 交易量
最新
$30,760 交易量
2026-08-16
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
12%
28°C
34%
29°C
41%
30°C
12%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 41%
28°C 34%
27°C 12%
30°C 12%
最新
$30,760 交易量
最新
$30,760 交易量
2026-08-16
24°C or below
$1,524 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,398 交易量
1%
26°C
$1,945 交易量
1%
27°C
$5,742 交易量
12%
28°C
$2,132 交易量
34%
29°C
$3,049 交易量
41%
30°C
$4,588 交易量
12%
31°C
$2,117 交易量
4%
32°C
$3,211 交易量
2%
33°C
$2,614 交易量
1%
34°C or higher
$2,439 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with occasional scattered showers for Tokyo on August 16, limiting peak solar insolation and supporting a maximum temperature near 29°C. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 28–29°C outcomes, as cloud cover and potential precipitation enhance evaporative cooling amid typical late-summer humidity levels above 70%. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on exact shower timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention, which models resolve only within a 1–2°C range. Historical August baselines near 31–32°C highlight how these transient factors suppress extremes, with final resolution depending on official JMA verification of the daily high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$30,760结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with occasional scattered showers for Tokyo on August 16, limiting peak solar insolation and supporting a maximum temperature near 29°C. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 28–29°C outcomes, as cloud cover and potential precipitation enhance evaporative cooling amid typical late-summer humidity levels above 70%. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on exact shower timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention, which models resolve only within a 1–2°C range. Historical August baselines near 31–32°C highlight how these transient factors suppress extremes, with final resolution depending on official JMA verification of the daily high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30,760结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with occasional scattered showers for Tokyo on August 16, limiting peak solar insolation and supporting a maximum temperature near 29°C. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 28–29°C outcomes, as cloud cover and potential precipitation enhance evaporative cooling amid typical late-summer humidity levels above 70%. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on exact shower timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention, which models resolve only within a 1–2°C range. Historical August baselines near 31–32°C highlight how these transient factors suppress extremes, with final resolution depending on official JMA verification of the daily high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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