Recent forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather indicate Miami overnight lows will likely settle in the upper 70s on June 14, aligning with the market's leading 78–79°F bracket at 50% implied probability. Persistent subtropical moisture and high dew points limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while light easterly flow and urban heat island effects keep temperatures from dropping to the historical June minimum average near 77°F. Afternoon thunderstorms, common in early summer, may enhance mixing and slightly elevate the daily low, supporting the combined 72% probability on 76–81°F outcomes. No significant frontal passages or dry-air intrusions are expected to alter this pattern before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月14日迈阿密最低气温?
78-79°F 50%
76-77°F 30%
80-81°F 25%
74-75°F 8%
67°F或以下
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
50%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F或更高
<1%
78-79°F 50%
76-77°F 30%
80-81°F 25%
74-75°F 8%
67°F或以下
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
50%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather indicate Miami overnight lows will likely settle in the upper 70s on June 14, aligning with the market's leading 78–79°F bracket at 50% implied probability. Persistent subtropical moisture and high dew points limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while light easterly flow and urban heat island effects keep temperatures from dropping to the historical June minimum average near 77°F. Afternoon thunderstorms, common in early summer, may enhance mixing and slightly elevate the daily low, supporting the combined 72% probability on 76–81°F outcomes. No significant frontal passages or dry-air intrusions are expected to alter this pattern before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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