Recent forecasts from NOAA and local models indicate Miami's overnight low on June 15 will likely settle in the upper 70s amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions, with high humidity and light winds limiting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 88–90°F. Sea-breeze influences from the Atlantic and Gulf Stream maintain elevated minimum temperatures, while scattered evening thunderstorms may enhance cloud cover and trap heat. Market-implied odds favor 78–79°F because historical June normals hover around 76°F yet recent observations show persistent warmth from above-average moisture and minimal frontal intrusions. Minor model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing account for the close clustering between 76–81°F bins, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting the low likelihood of unusual clear skies or strong advection. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.