Recent forecasts for Moscow show nighttime lows on August 28 ranging from about 9–12°C amid variable cloud cover and light northerly winds, creating substantial uncertainty around the exact minimum. Radiative cooling under clearer skies could push readings toward the lower end of model spreads, while any increase in cloudiness or wind would moderate the drop. Historical August averages near 11°C and the proximity to resolution heighten sensitivity to the next 48-hour model runs from agencies like Roshydromet. Trader consensus at equal implied odds across thresholds reflects this narrow forecast range and typical ensemble divergence for two-day outlooks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日莫斯科最低气温?
6°C or below 95%
7°C 90%
8°C 90%
11°C 90%
6°C or below
95%
7°C
90%
8°C
90%
9°C
46%
10°C
46%
11°C
90%
12°C
90%
13°C
90%
14°C
89%
15°C
48%
16°C or higher
16%
6°C or below 95%
7°C 90%
8°C 90%
11°C 90%
6°C or below
95%
7°C
90%
8°C
90%
9°C
46%
10°C
46%
11°C
90%
12°C
90%
13°C
90%
14°C
89%
15°C
48%
16°C or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Moscow show nighttime lows on August 28 ranging from about 9–12°C amid variable cloud cover and light northerly winds, creating substantial uncertainty around the exact minimum. Radiative cooling under clearer skies could push readings toward the lower end of model spreads, while any increase in cloudiness or wind would moderate the drop. Historical August averages near 11°C and the proximity to resolution heighten sensitivity to the next 48-hour model runs from agencies like Roshydromet. Trader consensus at equal implied odds across thresholds reflects this narrow forecast range and typical ensemble divergence for two-day outlooks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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