Persistent heatwave conditions over northern France, driven by a strong high-pressure system and warm air advection, have kept Paris overnight temperatures elevated, with official Météo-France and European model consensus pointing to a minimum near 19°C on August 13. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome, as urban heat island effects and minimal radiative cooling under clear skies reduce the chance of dropping to historical mid-August averages around 15–16°C. Updated model runs through the evening will refine the exact threshold, though realistic shifts could occur from unanticipated increases in cloud cover, stronger winds, or localized measurement variations at official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日巴黎最低气温？
8月13日巴黎最低气温？
19°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,685 交易量
$14,685 交易量
2026-08-13
18°C或以下
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C或更高
否
19°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,685 交易量
$14,685 交易量
2026-08-13
18°C或以下
$2,336 交易量
否
19°C
$1,490 交易量
是
20°C
$2,658 交易量
否
21°C
$2,820 交易量
否
22°C
$790 交易量
否
23°C
$747 交易量
否
24°C
$1,121 交易量
否
25°C
$1,122 交易量
否
26°C
$841 交易量
否
27°C
$375 交易量
否
28°C或更高
$385 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions over northern France, driven by a strong high-pressure system and warm air advection, have kept Paris overnight temperatures elevated, with official Météo-France and European model consensus pointing to a minimum near 19°C on August 13. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome, as urban heat island effects and minimal radiative cooling under clear skies reduce the chance of dropping to historical mid-August averages around 15–16°C. Updated model runs through the evening will refine the exact threshold, though realistic shifts could occur from unanticipated increases in cloud cover, stronger winds, or localized measurement variations at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$14,685结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions over northern France, driven by a strong high-pressure system and warm air advection, have kept Paris overnight temperatures elevated, with official Météo-France and European model consensus pointing to a minimum near 19°C on August 13. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome, as urban heat island effects and minimal radiative cooling under clear skies reduce the chance of dropping to historical mid-August averages around 15–16°C. Updated model runs through the evening will refine the exact threshold, though realistic shifts could occur from unanticipated increases in cloud cover, stronger winds, or localized measurement variations at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,685结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Persistent heatwave conditions over northern France, driven by a strong high-pressure system and warm air advection, have kept Paris overnight temperatures elevated, with official Météo-France and European model consensus pointing to a minimum near 19°C on August 13. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome, as urban heat island effects and minimal radiative cooling under clear skies reduce the chance of dropping to historical mid-August averages around 15–16°C. Updated model runs through the evening will refine the exact threshold, though realistic shifts could occur from unanticipated increases in cloud cover, stronger winds, or localized measurement variations at official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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