Official meteorological observations from stations including São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport confirm a daily minimum temperature of 16°C on August 28, 2026, under clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry air typical of late-winter conditions in the region. This aligns closely with National Weather Service and regional forecast models projecting overnight lows near that threshold, consistent with climatological averages of 15–17°C for the date and the absence of cold fronts or enhanced radiative cooling. The overwhelming 99% market-implied probability on 16°C reflects traders’ confidence in these verified station readings as the resolution source. Minor uncertainties remain around precise microclimate variations across urban stations or potential post-processing adjustments, though such revisions are rare once preliminary data are released.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日圣保罗最低温度？
8月28日圣保罗最低温度？
16°C 100.0%
15°C 1.0%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
$2,207 交易量
$2,207 交易量
2026-08-28
10°C或以下
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C或更高
否
16°C 100.0%
15°C 1.0%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
$2,207 交易量
$2,207 交易量
2026-08-28
10°C或以下
$55 交易量
否
11°C
$82 交易量
否
12°C
$257 交易量
否
13°C
$724 交易量
否
14°C
$91 交易量
否
15°C
$38 交易量
否
16°C
$439 交易量
是
17°C
$317 交易量
否
18°C
$69 交易量
否
19°C
$94 交易量
否
20°C或更高
$40 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from stations including São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport confirm a daily minimum temperature of 16°C on August 28, 2026, under clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry air typical of late-winter conditions in the region. This aligns closely with National Weather Service and regional forecast models projecting overnight lows near that threshold, consistent with climatological averages of 15–17°C for the date and the absence of cold fronts or enhanced radiative cooling. The overwhelming 99% market-implied probability on 16°C reflects traders’ confidence in these verified station readings as the resolution source. Minor uncertainties remain around precise microclimate variations across urban stations or potential post-processing adjustments, though such revisions are rare once preliminary data are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$2,207结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from stations including São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport confirm a daily minimum temperature of 16°C on August 28, 2026, under clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry air typical of late-winter conditions in the region. This aligns closely with National Weather Service and regional forecast models projecting overnight lows near that threshold, consistent with climatological averages of 15–17°C for the date and the absence of cold fronts or enhanced radiative cooling. The overwhelming 99% market-implied probability on 16°C reflects traders’ confidence in these verified station readings as the resolution source. Minor uncertainties remain around precise microclimate variations across urban stations or potential post-processing adjustments, though such revisions are rare once preliminary data are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,207结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official meteorological observations from stations including São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport confirm a daily minimum temperature of 16°C on August 28, 2026, under clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry air typical of late-winter conditions in the region. This aligns closely with National Weather Service and regional forecast models projecting overnight lows near that threshold, consistent with climatological averages of 15–17°C for the date and the absence of cold fronts or enhanced radiative cooling. The overwhelming 99% market-implied probability on 16°C reflects traders’ confidence in these verified station readings as the resolution source. Minor uncertainties remain around precise microclimate variations across urban stations or potential post-processing adjustments, though such revisions are rare once preliminary data are released.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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