Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and major models indicate a minimum temperature near 20–22°C for Tokyo on June 14, 2026, under clear-to-cloudy conditions with typical early-summer radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with June climatological averages (lows near 21°C) and the absence of strong cold-air advection or anomalous high pressure that would drive sharper drops. Trader consensus at 84% for 21°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, while lower-probability outcomes below 20°C would require unexpected model shifts or localized cooling not supported by current observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月14日东京最低气温?
21°C 81%
20°C 12%
19°C 3.5%
18°C <1%
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
12%
21°C
81%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
21°C 81%
20°C 12%
19°C 3.5%
18°C <1%
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
12%
21°C
81%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and major models indicate a minimum temperature near 20–22°C for Tokyo on June 14, 2026, under clear-to-cloudy conditions with typical early-summer radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with June climatological averages (lows near 21°C) and the absence of strong cold-air advection or anomalous high pressure that would drive sharper drops. Trader consensus at 84% for 21°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, while lower-probability outcomes below 20°C would require unexpected model shifts or localized cooling not supported by current observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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