Incumbent Rep. Diana Harshbarger's unchallenged path in the solidly Republican TN-01 district, rated R+29 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus pricing a Republican House election win at 92%. Harshbarger, who secured over 75% in her 2024 reelection, boasts $1.8 million cash-on-hand through late March, dwarfing Democratic primary contenders Kristi Burke ($27,000) and others with negligible fundraising. Recent mid-decade redistricting finalized in early May preserved the district's safe status despite boundary tweaks and a filing deadline extension to May 15. With no GOP primary opponents after challengers withdrew, the August 6 primaries pose minimal risk; upset scenarios include late scandals, health issues, or a massive national Democratic wave tilting midterm turnout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,202 交易量
$12,202 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
92%
民主党
6%
$12,202 交易量
$12,202 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$7,982 交易量
92%
民主党
$4,220 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Diana Harshbarger's unchallenged path in the solidly Republican TN-01 district, rated R+29 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus pricing a Republican House election win at 92%. Harshbarger, who secured over 75% in her 2024 reelection, boasts $1.8 million cash-on-hand through late March, dwarfing Democratic primary contenders Kristi Burke ($27,000) and others with negligible fundraising. Recent mid-decade redistricting finalized in early May preserved the district's safe status despite boundary tweaks and a filing deadline extension to May 15. With no GOP primary opponents after challengers withdrew, the August 6 primaries pose minimal risk; upset scenarios include late scandals, health issues, or a massive national Democratic wave tilting midterm turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$12,202结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Diana Harshbarger's unchallenged path in the solidly Republican TN-01 district, rated R+29 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus pricing a Republican House election win at 92%. Harshbarger, who secured over 75% in her 2024 reelection, boasts $1.8 million cash-on-hand through late March, dwarfing Democratic primary contenders Kristi Burke ($27,000) and others with negligible fundraising. Recent mid-decade redistricting finalized in early May preserved the district's safe status despite boundary tweaks and a filing deadline extension to May 15. With no GOP primary opponents after challengers withdrew, the August 6 primaries pose minimal risk; upset scenarios include late scandals, health issues, or a massive national Democratic wave tilting midterm turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,202结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Diana Harshbarger's unchallenged path in the solidly Republican TN-01 district, rated R+29 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus pricing a Republican House election win at 92%. Harshbarger, who secured over 75% in her 2024 reelection, boasts $1.8 million cash-on-hand through late March, dwarfing Democratic primary contenders Kristi Burke ($27,000) and others with negligible fundraising. Recent mid-decade redistricting finalized in early May preserved the district's safe status despite boundary tweaks and a filing deadline extension to May 15. With no GOP primary opponents after challengers withdrew, the August 6 primaries pose minimal risk; upset scenarios include late scandals, health issues, or a massive national Democratic wave tilting midterm turnout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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