Trader sentiment for 2026 House election turnout centers on uncertainty over participation levels in a midterm cycle marked by divided government and numerous competitive districts. The leading 130 million-plus outcome reflects expectations of elevated engagement from sustained national polarization and strong party mobilization efforts, while brackets such as 115-120 million and 120-125 million align with historical midterm averages adjusted for current economic conditions and state-level ballot measures. Key differentiators among leading outcomes include varying assessments of grassroots organizing intensity, voter enthusiasm in battleground states, and the projected number of high-profile races that could drive turnout. Support could consolidate behind one range following primary results that clarify candidate appeal, shifts in early polling on salient issues, or measurable increases in campaign spending that historically correlate with broader participation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated130m+ 30%
120-125m 22%
115-120m 16%
125-130m 14%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
<1%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
1%
100-105m
1%
105-110m
6%
110-115m
11%
115-120m
16%
120-125m
22%
125-130m
14%
130m+
30%
130m+ 30%
120-125m 22%
115-120m 16%
125-130m 14%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
$324 Vol.
<1%
85-90m
$419 Vol.
<1%
90-95m
$1,552 Vol.
1%
95-100m
$269 Vol.
1%
100-105m
$791 Vol.
1%
105-110m
$436 Vol.
6%
110-115m
$526 Vol.
11%
115-120m
$1,025 Vol.
16%
120-125m
$408 Vol.
22%
125-130m
$1,204 Vol.
14%
130m+
$307 Vol.
30%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader sentiment for 2026 House election turnout centers on uncertainty over participation levels in a midterm cycle marked by divided government and numerous competitive districts. The leading 130 million-plus outcome reflects expectations of elevated engagement from sustained national polarization and strong party mobilization efforts, while brackets such as 115-120 million and 120-125 million align with historical midterm averages adjusted for current economic conditions and state-level ballot measures. Key differentiators among leading outcomes include varying assessments of grassroots organizing intensity, voter enthusiasm in battleground states, and the projected number of high-profile races that could drive turnout. Support could consolidate behind one range following primary results that clarify candidate appeal, shifts in early polling on salient issues, or measurable increases in campaign spending that historically correlate with broader participation.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Market Opened: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$7,260End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader sentiment for 2026 House election turnout centers on uncertainty over participation levels in a midterm cycle marked by divided government and numerous competitive districts. The leading 130 million-plus outcome reflects expectations of elevated engagement from sustained national polarization and strong party mobilization efforts, while brackets such as 115-120 million and 120-125 million align with historical midterm averages adjusted for current economic conditions and state-level ballot measures. Key differentiators among leading outcomes include varying assessments of grassroots organizing intensity, voter enthusiasm in battleground states, and the projected number of high-profile races that could drive turnout. Support could consolidate behind one range following primary results that clarify candidate appeal, shifts in early polling on salient issues, or measurable increases in campaign spending that historically correlate with broader participation.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$7,260End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for 2026 House election turnout centers on uncertainty over participation levels in a midterm cycle marked by divided government and numerous competitive districts. The leading 130 million-plus outcome reflects expectations of elevated engagement from sustained national polarization and strong party mobilization efforts, while brackets such as 115-120 million and 120-125 million align with historical midterm averages adjusted for current economic conditions and state-level ballot measures. Key differentiators among leading outcomes include varying assessments of grassroots organizing intensity, voter enthusiasm in battleground states, and the projected number of high-profile races that could drive turnout. Support could consolidate behind one range following primary results that clarify candidate appeal, shifts in early polling on salient issues, or measurable increases in campaign spending that historically correlate with broader participation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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