Civil Contract maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for Armenia’s June 7 parliamentary election, driven by its status as the ruling party under Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, who secured unanimous nomination as its prime ministerial candidate in late March and early April. Recent pre-election polling shows the party ahead of fragmented opposition groups such as Strong Armenia and Armenia Alliance, while its draft platform emphasizing economic transformation and institutional reform has reinforced party cohesion ahead of the campaign launch in early May. The 91.5 percent implied probability reflects these structural advantages and historical precedent for incumbents in proportional representation systems. Late developments that could narrow the margin include sharp shifts in voter turnout, coordinated opposition alliances, or unexpected economic or foreign policy pressures surfacing in the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCivil Contract 92%
Strong Armenia 6.4%
Armenia Alliance 1.4%
Armenian National Congress <1%
$206,278 Vol.
$206,278 Vol.
Jun 7, 2026
Civil Contract
92%
Strong Armenia
6%
Armenia Alliance
1%
Armenian National Congress
1%
Prosperous Armenia
<1%
Bright Armenia
<1%
I Have Honor Alliance
<1%
Hanrapetutyun Party
<1%
Heritage
<1%
Orinats Yerkir
<1%
Civil Contract 92%
Strong Armenia 6.4%
Armenia Alliance 1.4%
Armenian National Congress <1%
$206,278 Vol.
$206,278 Vol.
Jun 7, 2026
Civil Contract
$63,992 Vol.
92%
Strong Armenia
$10,611 Vol.
6%
Armenia Alliance
$59,208 Vol.
1%
Armenian National Congress
$13,647 Vol.
1%
Prosperous Armenia
$15,231 Vol.
<1%
Bright Armenia
$8,256 Vol.
<1%
I Have Honor Alliance
$7,849 Vol.
<1%
Hanrapetutyun Party
$8,382 Vol.
<1%
Heritage
$8,752 Vol.
<1%
Orinats Yerkir
$10,350 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for Armenia’s June 7 parliamentary election, driven by its status as the ruling party under Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, who secured unanimous nomination as its prime ministerial candidate in late March and early April. Recent pre-election polling shows the party ahead of fragmented opposition groups such as Strong Armenia and Armenia Alliance, while its draft platform emphasizing economic transformation and institutional reform has reinforced party cohesion ahead of the campaign launch in early May. The 91.5 percent implied probability reflects these structural advantages and historical precedent for incumbents in proportional representation systems. Late developments that could narrow the margin include sharp shifts in voter turnout, coordinated opposition alliances, or unexpected economic or foreign policy pressures surfacing in the final weeks.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Market Opened: Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
Volume
$206,278End Date
Jun 7, 2026Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for Armenia’s June 7 parliamentary election, driven by its status as the ruling party under Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, who secured unanimous nomination as its prime ministerial candidate in late March and early April. Recent pre-election polling shows the party ahead of fragmented opposition groups such as Strong Armenia and Armenia Alliance, while its draft platform emphasizing economic transformation and institutional reform has reinforced party cohesion ahead of the campaign launch in early May. The 91.5 percent implied probability reflects these structural advantages and historical precedent for incumbents in proportional representation systems. Late developments that could narrow the margin include sharp shifts in voter turnout, coordinated opposition alliances, or unexpected economic or foreign policy pressures surfacing in the final weeks.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Volume
$206,278End Date
Jun 7, 2026Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Civil Contract maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for Armenia’s June 7 parliamentary election, driven by its status as the ruling party under Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, who secured unanimous nomination as its prime ministerial candidate in late March and early April. Recent pre-election polling shows the party ahead of fragmented opposition groups such as Strong Armenia and Armenia Alliance, while its draft platform emphasizing economic transformation and institutional reform has reinforced party cohesion ahead of the campaign launch in early May. The 91.5 percent implied probability reflects these structural advantages and historical precedent for incumbents in proportional representation systems. Late developments that could narrow the margin include sharp shifts in voter turnout, coordinated opposition alliances, or unexpected economic or foreign policy pressures surfacing in the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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