Democratic Party of Korea candidate Shin Yong-han commands overwhelming trader consensus at 95.9% implied probability for the June 3 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election, driven by consistent April-May polls showing him ahead of incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Young-hwan by 20+ percentage points, such as 51-31% and 55-29%. Kim's party nomination faced initial rejection overturned by court intervention, eroding momentum amid criticisms of his Osong bio-disaster handling and ongoing legal probes. Candidate registration on May 14 and Shin's campaign launch yesterday underscore his "local-led growth" pledges positioning him as a fresh alternative. While dominant, a late scandal, high conservative turnout, or national ruling party rebound could narrow the gap before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedChungcheongbuk Province Governor Election Winner
Chungcheongbuk Province Governor Election Winner
Shin Yong-han 95.8%
Do Jong-hwan 1.9%
Yoon Hee-geun 1.7%
Kim Young-hwan 1.0%
$38,306 Vol.
$38,306 Vol.
Shin Yong-han
96%
Do Jong-hwan
2%
Yoon Hee-geun
2%
Kim Young-hwan
1%
Song Ki-sub
1%
Cho Gil-hyeong
1%
Lee Jong-bae
<1%
Noh Yeong-min
<1%
Shin Yong-han 95.8%
Do Jong-hwan 1.9%
Yoon Hee-geun 1.7%
Kim Young-hwan 1.0%
$38,306 Vol.
$38,306 Vol.
Shin Yong-han
96%
Do Jong-hwan
2%
Yoon Hee-geun
2%
Kim Young-hwan
1%
Song Ki-sub
1%
Cho Gil-hyeong
1%
Lee Jong-bae
<1%
Noh Yeong-min
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Market Opened: Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Party of Korea candidate Shin Yong-han commands overwhelming trader consensus at 95.9% implied probability for the June 3 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election, driven by consistent April-May polls showing him ahead of incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Young-hwan by 20+ percentage points, such as 51-31% and 55-29%. Kim's party nomination faced initial rejection overturned by court intervention, eroding momentum amid criticisms of his Osong bio-disaster handling and ongoing legal probes. Candidate registration on May 14 and Shin's campaign launch yesterday underscore his "local-led growth" pledges positioning him as a fresh alternative. While dominant, a late scandal, high conservative turnout, or national ruling party rebound could narrow the gap before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions